PHOENIXLTD
The Phoenix Mills Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
The Phoenix Mills Limited (PHOENIXLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PHOENIXLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
The Phoenix Mills Limited (PHOENIXLTD) trades at ₹1,913,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, The Phoenix Mills Limited (PHOENIXLTD) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 52.9× earnings, ROE of 11.6%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PHOENIXLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How PHOENIXLTD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- PHOENIXLTD's market cap of 67,795 Cr ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PHOENIXLTD's book value of ₹307 ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PHOENIXLTD's promoter holding of 47.2% ranks in the 26th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PHOENIXLTD's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 14.0% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PHOENIXLTD's 3-year revenue growth of 19.0% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PHOENIXLTD's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48x is lower than 36% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is PHOENIXLTD overvalued? PHOENIXLTD P/E vs peers
PHOENIXLTD trades at 52.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
PHOENIXLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PHOENIXLTD history (24%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHOENIXLTD 2027 | ₹1,317 | ₹2,050 | ₹3,191 | +8% |
| PHOENIXLTD 2028 | ₹1,175 | ₹2,217 | ₹4,182 | +17% |
| PHOENIXLTD 2029 | ₹1,099 | ₹2,398 | ₹5,231 | +26% |
| PHOENIXLTD 2030 | ₹1,064 | ₹2,593 | ₹6,318 | +37% |
| PHOENIXLTD 2031 | ₹1,021 | ₹2,805 | ₹7,707 | +48% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PHOENIXLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PHOENIXLTD
- The Phoenix Mills Limited is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,231.
The bear case & risks
- PHOENIXLTD's P/E of 52.3x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- PHOENIXLTD's return on equity of 11.6% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,099.
PHOENIXLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years PHOENIXLTD compounded at 24%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,317-₹3,191, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PHOENIXLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PHOENIXLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PHOENIXLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PHOENIXLTD price target & forecast page.
PHOENIXLTD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PHOENIXLTD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
PHOENIXLTD MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PHOENIXLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 26.78% | 3.7× |
| Zerodha | 25.80% | 3.9× |
| Groww | 25.84% | 3.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.00% | 4.2× |
| Kotak Neo | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 24.00% | 4.2× |
| Pocketful | 30.32% | 3.3× |
| Anand Rathi | 30.25% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 26.00% | 3.8× |
| Share India | 30.36% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the PHOENIXLTD MTF page.
About The Phoenix Mills Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
The Phoenix Mills Limited (PHOENIXLTD) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹68,599 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the PHOENIXLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of The Phoenix Mills Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PHOENIXLTD analysis, FAQs
Is The Phoenix Mills Limited (PHOENIXLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, The Phoenix Mills Limited (PHOENIXLTD) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 52.9× earnings, ROE of 11.6%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PHOENIXLTD overvalued or undervalued?
PHOENIXLTD trades at 52.9× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the PHOENIXLTD share price target for 2031?
PHOENIXLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,805, with an 80% range of ₹1,021-₹7,707 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PHOENIXLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PHOENIXLTD reaching ₹3,791 (2×) within 5 years is 35%.
What is the bull case for PHOENIXLTD?
The Phoenix Mills Limited is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in PHOENIXLTD?
PHOENIXLTD's P/E of 52.3x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PHOENIXLTD's return on equity of 11.6% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.