Case study

PICCADIL

Piccadily Agro Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model +4.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

40Score

Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PICCADIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) trades at ₹746,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100.

On the numbers, Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100, weighing expensive at 53.3× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PICCADIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹7,335 Cr
Current price
₹746
P/E ratio
53.3×
P/B ratio
8.16×
Book value
₹91
ROCE
18.0%
ROE
17.4%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How PICCADIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PICCADIL overvalued? PICCADIL P/E vs peers

PICCADIL trades at 53.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PICCADIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PICCADIL history (44%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PICCADIL 2027₹433₹773₹1,380+4%
PICCADIL 2028₹356₹804₹1,818+8%
PICCADIL 2029₹307₹837₹2,283+13%
PICCADIL 2030₹271₹871₹2,798+17%
PICCADIL 2031₹246₹906₹3,331+22%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PICCADIL goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,486 within 5 years

The bull case for PICCADIL

  • PICCADIL's return on equity of 17.4% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PICCADIL's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,283.

The bear case & risks

  • PICCADIL's P/E of 53.3x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 8.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹307.

PICCADIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PICCADIL compounded at 44%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹433-₹1,380, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PICCADIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹433-₹1,380
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.6%
80% range₹307-₹2,283
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
21.9%
80% range₹246-₹3,331
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)32%

PICCADIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PICCADIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PICCADIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PICCADIL price target & forecast page.

PICCADIL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PICCADIL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

PICCADIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PICCADIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.62%2.8×
Zerodha35.57%2.8×
Groww35.64%2.8×
DhanCHEAPEST35.57%2.8×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money35.69%2.8×
Pocketful35.93%2.8×
Fyers35.71%2.8×
Anand Rathi35.57%2.8×
Share India35.57%2.8×

Compare every broker on the PICCADIL MTF page.

About Piccadily Agro Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,335 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PICCADIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PICCADIL analysis, FAQs

Is Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100, weighing expensive at 53.3× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PICCADIL overvalued or undervalued?

PICCADIL trades at 53.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PICCADIL share price target for 2031?

PICCADIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹906, with an 80% range of ₹246-₹3,331 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PICCADIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PICCADIL reaching ₹1,486 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for PICCADIL?

PICCADIL's return on equity of 17.4% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PICCADIL's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in PICCADIL?

PICCADIL's P/E of 53.3x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 8.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on PICCADIL