Case study

PPLPHARMA

Piramal Pharma

High-risk on the numbers1y model -7.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Piramal Pharma (PPLPHARMA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PPLPHARMA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Piramal Pharma (PPLPHARMA) trades at ₹159,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100.

On the numbers, Piramal Pharma (PPLPHARMA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 61.4× earnings, ROE of -3.6%, a 43% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PPLPHARMA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹21,116 Cr
Current price
₹159
P/E ratio
61.4×
P/B ratio
2.59×
Book value
₹61
Dividend yield
0.09%
ROCE
2.7%
ROE
-3.6%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is PPLPHARMA overvalued? PPLPHARMA P/E vs its sector

PPLPHARMA's P/E of 61.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.09% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

PPLPHARMA P/E
61.4×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
PPLPHARMA div yield
0.09%
Peer median yield
1.65%

PPLPHARMA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PPLPHARMA history (1%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PPLPHARMA 2027₹87₹147₹247-7%
PPLPHARMA 2028₹65₹136₹283-14%
PPLPHARMA 2029₹51₹126₹311-21%
PPLPHARMA 2030₹40₹116₹331-27%
PPLPHARMA 2031₹33₹108₹346-32%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PPLPHARMA goes up, or doubles?

43%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
33%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
11%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹318 within 5 years

The bull case for PPLPHARMA

  • Piramal Pharma is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹311.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 61.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 43% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹51.

PPLPHARMA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years PPLPHARMA compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹87₹247, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PPLPHARMA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.5%
80% range₹87–₹247
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
20.8%
80% range₹51–₹311
P(price ↑)37%
P(price 2×)10%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
32.0%
80% range₹33–₹346
P(price ↑)33%
P(price 2×)11%

PPLPHARMA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PPLPHARMA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PPLPHARMA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PPLPHARMA price target & forecast page.

PPLPHARMA Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. PPLPHARMA scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

PPLPHARMA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PPLPHARMA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST32.3%3.1×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.3%3.1×
DhanCHEAPEST32.3%3.1×

Compare every broker on the PPLPHARMA MTF page.

PPLPHARMA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
PPLPHARMA (this stock)61.4×0.09%₹21,116 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Piramal Pharma: sector, index & market-cap context

Piramal Pharma (PPLPHARMA) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,116 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the PPLPHARMA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Piramal Pharma's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PPLPHARMA analysis, FAQs

Is Piramal Pharma (PPLPHARMA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Piramal Pharma (PPLPHARMA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 61.4× earnings, ROE of -3.6%, a 43% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PPLPHARMA overvalued or undervalued?

PPLPHARMA trades at 61.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the PPLPHARMA share price target for 2031?

PPLPHARMA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹108, with an 80% range of ₹33₹346 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PPLPHARMA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PPLPHARMA reaching ₹318 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.

What is the bull case for PPLPHARMA?

Piramal Pharma is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in PPLPHARMA?

A rich 61.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 43% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on PPLPHARMA