Case study

PRAKASH

Prakash Industries Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

65Score

Prakash Industries Limited (PRAKASH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PRAKASH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Prakash Industries Limited (PRAKASH) trades at ₹129,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.

On the numbers, Prakash Industries Limited (PRAKASH) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.0× earnings, ROE of 14.1%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PRAKASH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,305 Cr
Current price
₹129
P/E ratio
6.0×
P/B ratio
0.74×
Book value
₹174
Dividend yield
1.17%
ROCE
14.1%
ROE
14.1%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How PRAKASH ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PRAKASH overvalued? PRAKASH P/E vs peers

PRAKASH trades at 6.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PRAKASH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PRAKASH history (13%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PRAKASH 2027₹76₹131₹227+2%
PRAKASH 2028₹61₹134₹294+4%
PRAKASH 2029₹52₹137₹358+6%
PRAKASH 2030₹46₹139₹422+8%
PRAKASH 2031₹40₹142₹502+11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PRAKASH goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹257 within 5 years

The bull case for PRAKASH

  • PRAKASH's P/E of 6.0x is lower than 93% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.74×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • PRAKASH's return on equity of 14.1% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹358.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹52.

PRAKASH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PRAKASH compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹76-₹227, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PRAKASH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹76-₹227
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.2%
80% range₹52-₹358
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
10.5%
80% range₹40-₹502
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)27%

PRAKASH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PRAKASH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PRAKASH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PRAKASH price target & forecast page.

PRAKASH Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PRAKASH scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

PRAKASH MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PRAKASH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.43%2.9×
Groww34.61%2.9×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money34.77%2.9×
Pocketful35.08%2.9×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST34.43%2.9×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India34.59%2.9×

Compare every broker on the PRAKASH MTF page.

Which ace investors hold PRAKASH?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Prakash Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Prakash Industries Limited (PRAKASH) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,305 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PRAKASH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Prakash Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PRAKASH analysis, FAQs

Is Prakash Industries Limited (PRAKASH) a good buy?

On the numbers, Prakash Industries Limited (PRAKASH) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.0× earnings, ROE of 14.1%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PRAKASH overvalued or undervalued?

PRAKASH trades at 6.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PRAKASH share price target for 2031?

PRAKASH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹142, with an 80% range of ₹40-₹502 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PRAKASH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PRAKASH reaching ₹257 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for PRAKASH?

PRAKASH's P/E of 6.0x is lower than 93% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.74×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. PRAKASH's return on equity of 14.1% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in PRAKASH?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on PRAKASH