Case study

PREMEXPLN

Premier Explosives Limited

Mixed signals1y model -4.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Premier Explosives Limited (PREMEXPLN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PREMEXPLN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Premier Explosives Limited (PREMEXPLN) trades at ₹665,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Premier Explosives Limited (PREMEXPLN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 72.0× earnings, ROE of 18.6%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PREMEXPLN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,576 Cr
Current price
₹665
P/E ratio
72.0×
P/B ratio
12.36×
Book value
₹54
Dividend yield
0.08%
ROCE
22.6%
ROE
18.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How PREMEXPLN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PREMEXPLN overvalued? PREMEXPLN P/E vs peers

PREMEXPLN trades at 72.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PREMEXPLN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PREMEXPLN history (22%/yr drift, 61%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PREMEXPLN 2027₹283₹615₹1,337-4%
PREMEXPLN 2028₹193₹590₹1,803-8%
PREMEXPLN 2029₹145₹566₹2,215-12%
PREMEXPLN 2030₹114₹543₹2,584-15%
PREMEXPLN 2031₹92₹521₹2,952-19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PREMEXPLN goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
44%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,282 within 5 years

The bull case for PREMEXPLN

  • PREMEXPLN's return on equity of 18.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PREMEXPLN's return on capital employed of 22.6% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,215.

The bear case & risks

  • PREMEXPLN's P/E of 69.4x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 12.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (61%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹145.

PREMEXPLN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PREMEXPLN compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 61%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹283-₹1,337, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PREMEXPLN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.1%
80% range₹283-₹1,337
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)11%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.7%
80% range₹145-₹2,215
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.7%
80% range₹92-₹2,952
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)26%

PREMEXPLN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PREMEXPLN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PREMEXPLN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PREMEXPLN price target & forecast page.

PREMEXPLN Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PREMEXPLN scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

PREMEXPLN MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PREMEXPLN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST42.66%2.3×
Groww42.95%2.3×
Kotak Neo42.74%2.3×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful43.74%2.3×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share India42.88%2.3×

Compare every broker on the PREMEXPLN MTF page.

About Premier Explosives Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Premier Explosives Limited (PREMEXPLN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,576 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PREMEXPLN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Premier Explosives Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PREMEXPLN analysis, FAQs

Is Premier Explosives Limited (PREMEXPLN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Premier Explosives Limited (PREMEXPLN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 72.0× earnings, ROE of 18.6%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PREMEXPLN overvalued or undervalued?

PREMEXPLN trades at 72.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PREMEXPLN share price target for 2031?

PREMEXPLN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹521, with an 80% range of ₹92-₹2,952 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PREMEXPLN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PREMEXPLN reaching ₹1,282 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for PREMEXPLN?

PREMEXPLN's return on equity of 18.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PREMEXPLN's return on capital employed of 22.6% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in PREMEXPLN?

PREMEXPLN's P/E of 69.4x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 12.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (61%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on PREMEXPLN