Case study

PSUBANKADD

DSP Nifty PSU Bank ETF

Worth a closer look1y model +9.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

DSP Nifty PSU Bank ETF (PSUBANKADD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PSUBANKADD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, DSP Nifty PSU Bank ETF (PSUBANKADD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

How PSUBANKADD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

PSUBANKADD is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.

PSUBANKADD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.9y of PSUBANKADD history (24%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PSUBANKADD 2027₹72₹97₹132+10%
PSUBANKADD 2028₹69₹107₹165+21%
PSUBANKADD 2029₹70₹117₹197+33%
PSUBANKADD 2030₹71₹129₹234+46%
PSUBANKADD 2031₹73₹142₹275+60%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PSUBANKADD goes up, or doubles?

66%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
82%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹177 within 5 years

The bull case for PSUBANKADD

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹97 (+10%).
  • Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹197.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹70.

PSUBANKADD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.9 years PSUBANKADD compounded at 24%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹72-₹132, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PSUBANKADD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.8%
80% range₹72-₹132
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
32.5%
80% range₹70-₹197
P(price ↑)76%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
59.9%
80% range₹73-₹275
P(price ↑)82%
P(price 2×)33%

PSUBANKADD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PSUBANKADD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PSUBANKADD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PSUBANKADD price target & forecast page.

PSUBANKADD MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PSUBANKADD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox27.26%3.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST27.24%3.7×
Groww40.00%2.5×
Dhan28.00%3.6×
Kotak Neo27.25%3.7×
Paytm Money27.97%3.6×
Fyers27.78%3.6×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST27.24%3.7×
Share India27.26%3.7×

Compare every broker on the PSUBANKADD MTF page.

About DSP Nifty PSU Bank ETF: sector, index & market-cap context

DSP Nifty PSU Bank ETF (PSUBANKADD) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PSUBANKADD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DSP Nifty PSU Bank ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PSUBANKADD analysis, FAQs

Is DSP Nifty PSU Bank ETF (PSUBANKADD) a good buy?

On the numbers, DSP Nifty PSU Bank ETF (PSUBANKADD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PSUBANKADD overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for PSUBANKADD are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the PSUBANKADD share price target for 2031?

PSUBANKADD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹142, with an 80% range of ₹73-₹275 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PSUBANKADD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PSUBANKADD reaching ₹177 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for PSUBANKADD?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹97 (+10%). Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in PSUBANKADD?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on PSUBANKADD