Case study

PTCIL

PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +8.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED (PTCIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PTCIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED (PTCIL) trades at ₹18,221,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED (PTCIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 268.0× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PTCIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹27,261 Cr
Current price
₹18,221
P/E ratio
268.0×
P/B ratio
18.13×
Book value
₹1,005
ROCE
8.4%
ROE
7.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How PTCIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PTCIL overvalued? PTCIL P/E vs peers

PTCIL trades at 268.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PTCIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PTCIL history (55%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PTCIL 2027₹12,421₹20,695₹34,481+9%
PTCIL 2028₹10,923₹22,460₹46,183+18%
PTCIL 2029₹10,124₹24,375₹58,686+28%
PTCIL 2030₹9,632₹26,454₹72,658+39%
PTCIL 2031₹9,116₹28,710₹90,420+51%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PTCIL goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
68%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
37%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹38,137 within 5 years

The bull case for PTCIL

  • PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹58,686.

The bear case & risks

  • PTCIL's P/E of 282.0x is lower than 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 18.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • PTCIL's return on equity of 7.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹10,124.

PTCIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PTCIL compounded at 55%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹12,421-₹34,481, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PTCIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.5%
80% range₹12,421-₹34,481
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
27.8%
80% range₹10,124-₹58,686
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)26%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
50.6%
80% range₹9,116-₹90,420
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)37%

PTCIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PTCIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PTCIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PTCIL price target & forecast page.

PTCIL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PTCIL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

PTCIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PTCIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST33.14%3.0×
Zerodha33.25%3.0×
Groww33.29%3.0×
Dhan33.25%3.0×
Kotak Neo33.22%3.0×
Paytm Money33.29%3.0×
Pocketful33.74%3.0×
Anand Rathi33.25%3.0×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India33.26%3.0×

Compare every broker on the PTCIL MTF page.

About PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED (PTCIL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹27,261 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PTCIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PTCIL analysis, FAQs

Is PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED (PTCIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED (PTCIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 268.0× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PTCIL overvalued or undervalued?

PTCIL trades at 268.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PTCIL share price target for 2031?

PTCIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹28,710, with an 80% range of ₹9,116-₹90,420 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PTCIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PTCIL reaching ₹38,137 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.

What is the bull case for PTCIL?

PTC INDUSTRIES LIMITED is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in PTCIL?

PTCIL's P/E of 282.0x is lower than 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 18.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. PTCIL's return on equity of 7.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on PTCIL