PTCIL
PTC Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
PTC Industries (PTCIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PTCIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
PTC Industries (PTCIL) trades at ₹17,912,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.
On the numbers, PTC Industries (PTCIL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 264.0× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PTCIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is PTCIL overvalued? PTCIL P/E vs its sector
PTCIL's P/E of 264.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
PTCIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PTCIL history (15%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTCIL 2027 | ₹11,873 | ₹19,534 | ₹32,700 | +7% |
| PTCIL 2028 | ₹10,336 | ₹21,078 | ₹43,347 | +15% |
| PTCIL 2029 | ₹9,262 | ₹22,664 | ₹55,222 | +24% |
| PTCIL 2030 | ₹8,685 | ₹24,632 | ₹66,415 | +34% |
| PTCIL 2031 | ₹8,443 | ₹27,017 | ₹81,140 | +47% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PTCIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PTCIL
- PTC Industries is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹55,222.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 264.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 17.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Return on equity is a soft 7.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9,262.
PTCIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years PTCIL compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹11,873–₹32,700, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PTCIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PTCIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PTCIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PTCIL price target & forecast page.
PTCIL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. PTCIL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
PTCIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PTCIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 34.3% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.3% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 34.3% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the PTCIL MTF page.
PTCIL vs peers,sector comparison
About PTC Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
PTC Industries (PTCIL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹26,794 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the PTCIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PTC Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PTCIL analysis, FAQs
Is PTC Industries (PTCIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, PTC Industries (PTCIL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 264.0× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PTCIL overvalued or undervalued?
PTCIL trades at 264.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the PTCIL share price target for 2031?
PTCIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹27,017, with an 80% range of ₹8,443–₹81,140 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PTCIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PTCIL reaching ₹36,666 (2×) within 5 years is 36%.
What is the bull case for PTCIL?
PTC Industries is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in PTCIL?
A rich 264.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 17.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. Return on equity is a soft 7.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.