Case study

PUNJABCHEM

Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

56Score

Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited (PUNJABCHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PUNJABCHEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited (PUNJABCHEM) trades at ₹1,111,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100.

On the numbers, Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited (PUNJABCHEM) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.4× earnings, ROE of 16.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PUNJABCHEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,362 Cr
Current price
₹1,111
P/E ratio
20.4×
P/B ratio
3.22×
Book value
₹345
Dividend yield
0.27%
ROCE
18.6%
ROE
16.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How PUNJABCHEM ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is PUNJABCHEM overvalued? PUNJABCHEM P/E vs peers

PUNJABCHEM trades at 20.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PUNJABCHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PUNJABCHEM history (17%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PUNJABCHEM 2027₹639₹1,138₹2,028+2%
PUNJABCHEM 2028₹514₹1,165₹2,641+5%
PUNJABCHEM 2029₹437₹1,194₹3,263+7%
PUNJABCHEM 2030₹384₹1,222₹3,887+10%
PUNJABCHEM 2031₹337₹1,252₹4,646+13%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PUNJABCHEM goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,222 within 5 years

The bull case for PUNJABCHEM

  • PUNJABCHEM's P/E of 20.4x is lower than 62% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • PUNJABCHEM's return on equity of 16.6% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • PUNJABCHEM's return on capital employed of 18.6% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,263.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹437.

PUNJABCHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PUNJABCHEM compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹639-₹2,028, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PUNJABCHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹639-₹2,028
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.4%
80% range₹437-₹3,263
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.7%
80% range₹337-₹4,646
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)28%

PUNJABCHEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PUNJABCHEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PUNJABCHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PUNJABCHEM price target & forecast page.

PUNJABCHEM Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PUNJABCHEM scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

PUNJABCHEM MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PUNJABCHEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww35.69%2.8×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money35.67%2.8×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST35.54%2.8×
Share India35.64%2.8×

Compare every broker on the PUNJABCHEM MTF page.

About Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited (PUNJABCHEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,362 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PUNJABCHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PUNJABCHEM analysis, FAQs

Is Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited (PUNJABCHEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Punjab Chemicals & Crop Protection Limited (PUNJABCHEM) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.4× earnings, ROE of 16.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PUNJABCHEM overvalued or undervalued?

PUNJABCHEM trades at 20.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PUNJABCHEM share price target for 2031?

PUNJABCHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,252, with an 80% range of ₹337-₹4,646 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PUNJABCHEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PUNJABCHEM reaching ₹2,222 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for PUNJABCHEM?

PUNJABCHEM's P/E of 20.4x is lower than 62% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. PUNJABCHEM's return on equity of 16.6% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. PUNJABCHEM's return on capital employed of 18.6% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in PUNJABCHEM?

High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on PUNJABCHEM