Case study

PURVA

PURAVANKARA LIMITED

High-risk on the numbers1y model +0.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

PURAVANKARA LIMITED (PURVA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PURVA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

PURAVANKARA LIMITED (PURVA) trades at ₹213,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, PURAVANKARA LIMITED (PURVA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 79.3× earnings, ROE of 3.6%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PURVA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,053 Cr
Current price
₹213
P/E ratio
79.3×
P/B ratio
2.82×
Book value
₹75
ROCE
11.2%
ROE
3.6%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How PURVA ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is PURVA overvalued? PURVA P/E vs peers

PURVA trades at 79.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

PURVA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PURVA history (16%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PURVA 2027₹114₹211₹390+0%
PURVA 2028₹89₹211₹503+0%
PURVA 2029₹73₹211₹609+0%
PURVA 2030₹63₹211₹705+0%
PURVA 2031₹55₹211₹809+0%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PURVA goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
50%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹422 within 5 years

The bull case for PURVA

  • PURAVANKARA LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹609.

The bear case & risks

  • PURVA's P/E of 79.3x is lower than 15% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • PURVA's return on equity of 3.6% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹73.

PURVA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PURVA compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹114-₹390, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PURVA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.0%
80% range₹114-₹390
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.0%
80% range₹73-₹609
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
0.0%
80% range₹55-₹809
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)25%

PURVA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PURVA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PURVA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PURVA price target & forecast page.

PURVA Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PURVA scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

PURVA MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PURVA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox37.25%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST37.21%2.7×
Groww40.00%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST37.21%2.7×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money37.31%2.7×
Pocketful37.92%2.6×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India37.41%2.7×

Compare every broker on the PURVA MTF page.

About PURAVANKARA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

PURAVANKARA LIMITED (PURVA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,053 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PURVA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PURAVANKARA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PURVA analysis, FAQs

Is PURAVANKARA LIMITED (PURVA) a good buy?

On the numbers, PURAVANKARA LIMITED (PURVA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 79.3× earnings, ROE of 3.6%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PURVA overvalued or undervalued?

PURVA trades at 79.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the PURVA share price target for 2031?

PURVA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹211, with an 80% range of ₹55-₹809 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PURVA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PURVA reaching ₹422 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for PURVA?

PURAVANKARA LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in PURVA?

PURVA's P/E of 79.3x is lower than 15% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. PURVA's return on equity of 3.6% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on PURVA