PVRINOX
PVR Inox
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
PVR Inox (PVRINOX) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PVRINOX a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
PVR Inox (PVRINOX) trades at ₹979,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.
On the numbers, PVR Inox (PVRINOX) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 40.6× earnings, ROE of 3.3%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PVRINOX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is PVRINOX overvalued? PVRINOX P/E vs its sector
PVRINOX's P/E of 40.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
PVRINOX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PVRINOX history (-21%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PVRINOX 2027 | ₹497 | ₹733 | ₹1,085 | -23% |
| PVRINOX 2028 | ₹323 | ₹565 | ₹985 | -40% |
| PVRINOX 2029 | ₹225 | ₹439 | ₹879 | -54% |
| PVRINOX 2030 | ₹157 | ₹344 | ₹754 | -64% |
| PVRINOX 2031 | ₹111 | ₹266 | ₹642 | -72% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PVRINOX goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PVRINOX
- Low price-to-book of 1.30×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹879.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 40.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 3.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹225.
PVRINOX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years PVRINOX compounded at -21%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹497–₹1,085, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PVRINOX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PVRINOX price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PVRINOX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PVRINOX price target & forecast page.
PVRINOX Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. PVRINOX scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
PVRINOX MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PVRINOX with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 29.2% | 3.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.2% | 3.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 29.2% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the PVRINOX MTF page.
PVRINOX vs peers,sector comparison
About PVR Inox: sector, index & market-cap context
PVR Inox (PVRINOX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,612 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the PVRINOX Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PVR Inox's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PVRINOX analysis, FAQs
Is PVR Inox (PVRINOX) a good buy?
On the numbers, PVR Inox (PVRINOX) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 40.6× earnings, ROE of 3.3%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PVRINOX overvalued or undervalued?
PVRINOX trades at 40.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the PVRINOX share price target for 2031?
PVRINOX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹266, with an 80% range of ₹111–₹642 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PVRINOX doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PVRINOX reaching ₹1,898 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for PVRINOX?
Low price-to-book of 1.30×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in PVRINOX?
A rich 40.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 3.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.