PWL
PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED (PWL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PWL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED (PWL) trades at ₹126,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100.
On the numbers, PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED (PWL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.8× earnings, ROE of -0.5%, a 15% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PWL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is PWL overvalued? PWL P/E vs its sector
PWL's P/E of 15.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.8×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers.
PWL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.6y of PWL history (-41%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PWL 2027 | ₹35 | ₹70 | ₹142 | -43% |
| PWL 2028 | ₹15 | ₹40 | ₹108 | -67% |
| PWL 2029 | ₹7 | ₹23 | ₹77 | -81% |
| PWL 2030 | ₹3 | ₹13 | ₹52 | -89% |
| PWL 2031 | ₹2 | ₹8 | ₹36 | -94% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PWL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PWL
- A 15.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹77.
The bear case & risks
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 15% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹7.
PWL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.6 years PWL compounded at -41%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹35–₹142, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PWL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PWL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PWL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PWL price target & forecast page.
PWL Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. PWL scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
PWL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PWL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 33.6% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.6% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.6% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the PWL MTF page.
PWL vs peers,sector comparison
About PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED (PWL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹36,110 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the PWL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PWL analysis, FAQs
Is PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED (PWL) a good buy?
On the numbers, PHYSICSWALLAH LIMITED (PWL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.8× earnings, ROE of -0.5%, a 15% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PWL overvalued or undervalued?
PWL trades at 15.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.8×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the PWL share price target for 2031?
PWL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹8, with an 80% range of ₹2–₹36 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PWL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PWL reaching ₹245 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for PWL?
A 15.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
What are the risks in PWL?
A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 15% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.