Case study

RACLGEAR

RACL GEARTECH LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +1.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

42Score

RACL GEARTECH LIMITED (RACLGEAR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RACLGEAR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

RACL GEARTECH LIMITED (RACLGEAR) trades at ₹1,483,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.

On the numbers, RACL GEARTECH LIMITED (RACLGEAR) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 35.1× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RACLGEAR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,748 Cr
Current price
₹1,483
P/E ratio
35.1×
P/B ratio
4.96×
Book value
₹299
Dividend yield
0.10%
ROCE
17.0%
ROE
17.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How RACLGEAR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is RACLGEAR overvalued? RACLGEAR P/E vs peers

RACLGEAR trades at 35.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

RACLGEAR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RACLGEAR history (40%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RACLGEAR 2027₹787₹1,501₹2,861+1%
RACLGEAR 2028₹609₹1,520₹3,794+3%
RACLGEAR 2029₹512₹1,540₹4,629+4%
RACLGEAR 2030₹432₹1,559₹5,633+5%
RACLGEAR 2031₹375₹1,579₹6,649+7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RACLGEAR goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
52%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,964 within 5 years

The bull case for RACLGEAR

  • RACLGEAR's return on equity of 17.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,629.

The bear case & risks

  • RACLGEAR's P/E of 35.1x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹512.

RACLGEAR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years RACLGEAR compounded at 40%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹787-₹2,861, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RACLGEAR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.3%
80% range₹787-₹2,861
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹512-₹4,629
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.6%
80% range₹375-₹6,649
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)29%

RACLGEAR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RACLGEAR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RACLGEAR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RACLGEAR price target & forecast page.

RACLGEAR Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RACLGEAR scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

RACLGEAR MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RACLGEAR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox39.22%2.5×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww39.22%2.5×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money39.26%2.5×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST39.05%2.6×

Compare every broker on the RACLGEAR MTF page.

About RACL GEARTECH LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

RACL GEARTECH LIMITED (RACLGEAR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,748 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RACLGEAR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of RACL GEARTECH LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RACLGEAR analysis, FAQs

Is RACL GEARTECH LIMITED (RACLGEAR) a good buy?

On the numbers, RACL GEARTECH LIMITED (RACLGEAR) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 35.1× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RACLGEAR overvalued or undervalued?

RACLGEAR trades at 35.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the RACLGEAR share price target for 2031?

RACLGEAR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,579, with an 80% range of ₹375-₹6,649 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RACLGEAR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RACLGEAR reaching ₹2,964 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for RACLGEAR?

RACLGEAR's return on equity of 17.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in RACLGEAR?

RACLGEAR's P/E of 35.1x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on RACLGEAR