RADICO
Radico Khaitan Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RADICO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) trades at ₹4,470,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.
On the numbers, Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 84.3× earnings, ROE of 20.3%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RADICO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How RADICO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- RADICO's market cap of 60,279 Cr ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RADICO's book value of ₹248 ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RADICO's promoter holding of 40.2% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RADICO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 41.0% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RADICO's 3-year revenue growth of 24.0% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RADICO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15x is lower than 69% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is RADICO overvalued? RADICO P/E vs peers
RADICO trades at 84.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
RADICO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RADICO history (40%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RADICO 2027 | ₹3,161 | ₹4,910 | ₹7,627 | +9% |
| RADICO 2028 | ₹2,907 | ₹5,358 | ₹9,878 | +19% |
| RADICO 2029 | ₹2,760 | ₹5,848 | ₹12,389 | +30% |
| RADICO 2030 | ₹2,700 | ₹6,382 | ₹15,088 | +42% |
| RADICO 2031 | ₹2,651 | ₹6,965 | ₹18,301 | +55% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RADICO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RADICO
- RADICO's return on equity of 20.3% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RADICO's return on capital employed of 24.2% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12,389.
The bear case & risks
- RADICO's P/E of 84.8x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 18.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,760.
RADICO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years RADICO compounded at 40%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,161-₹7,627, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RADICO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RADICO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RADICO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RADICO price target & forecast page.
RADICO Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RADICO scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
RADICO MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RADICO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 27.29% | 3.7× |
| Zerodha | 26.20% | 3.8× |
| Groww | 26.24% | 3.8× |
| Dhan | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 23.88% | 4.2× |
| Pocketful | 30.99% | 3.2× |
| Fyers | 32.26% | 3.1× |
| Anand Rathi | 30.76% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 32.00% | 3.1× |
| Share India | 30.83% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the RADICO MTF page.
Which ace investors hold RADICO?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
About Radico Khaitan Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹59,903 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the RADICO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Radico Khaitan Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RADICO analysis, FAQs
Is Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 84.3× earnings, ROE of 20.3%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RADICO overvalued or undervalued?
RADICO trades at 84.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the RADICO share price target for 2031?
RADICO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹6,965, with an 80% range of ₹2,651-₹18,301 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RADICO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RADICO reaching ₹8,998 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.
What is the bull case for RADICO?
RADICO's return on equity of 20.3% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. RADICO's return on capital employed of 24.2% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in RADICO?
RADICO's P/E of 84.8x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 18.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.