RAIN
Rain Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Rain Industries (RAIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RAIN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.
On the numbers, Rain Industries (RAIN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RAIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RAIN history (7%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAIN 2027 | ₹109 | ₹186 | ₹328 | -3% |
| RAIN 2028 | ₹83 | ₹183 | ₹402 | -4% |
| RAIN 2029 | ₹69 | ₹180 | ₹481 | -6% |
| RAIN 2030 | ₹60 | ₹177 | ₹540 | -7% |
| RAIN 2031 | ₹51 | ₹174 | ₹606 | -9% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RAIN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RAIN
- Rain Industries is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹481.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹69.
RAIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years RAIN compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹109–₹328, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RAIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RAIN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RAIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RAIN price target & forecast page.
RAIN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RAIN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 38.4% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.4% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 38.4% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the RAIN MTF page.
RAIN vs peers,sector comparison
About Rain Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Rain Industries (RAIN) is an NSE-listed company.
How the RAIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Rain Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RAIN analysis, FAQs
Is Rain Industries (RAIN) a good buy?
On the numbers, Rain Industries (RAIN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RAIN overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for RAIN are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the RAIN share price target for 2031?
RAIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹174, with an 80% range of ₹51–₹606 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RAIN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RAIN reaching ₹382 (2×) within 5 years is 20%.
What is the bull case for RAIN?
Rain Industries is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in RAIN?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.