RBLBANK
RBL Bank
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
RBL Bank (RBLBANK) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RBLBANK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
RBL Bank (RBLBANK) trades at ₹378,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, RBL Bank (RBLBANK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 66.7× earnings, ROE of 5.5%, a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RBLBANK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is RBLBANK overvalued? RBLBANK P/E vs its sector
RBLBANK's P/E of 66.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.26% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
RBLBANK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RBLBANK history (20%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBLBANK 2027 | ₹273 | ₹433 | ₹697 | +14% |
| RBLBANK 2028 | ₹256 | ₹494 | ₹966 | +30% |
| RBLBANK 2029 | ₹252 | ₹561 | ₹1,265 | +48% |
| RBLBANK 2030 | ₹253 | ₹641 | ₹1,627 | +69% |
| RBLBANK 2031 | ₹261 | ₹739 | ₹2,066 | +95% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RBLBANK goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RBLBANK
- Low price-to-book of 1.41×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹433 (+14%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,265.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 66.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 5.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹252.
RBLBANK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years RBLBANK compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹273–₹697, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RBLBANK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RBLBANK price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RBLBANK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RBLBANK price target & forecast page.
RBLBANK Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. RBLBANK scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
RBLBANK MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RBLBANK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.8% | 3.1× |
| Zerodha | 27.1% | 3.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.0% | 4.0× |
Compare every broker on the RBLBANK MTF page.
RBLBANK vs peers,sector comparison
About RBL Bank: sector, index & market-cap context
RBL Bank (RBLBANK) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹58,659 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the RBLBANK Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of RBL Bank's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RBLBANK analysis, FAQs
Is RBL Bank (RBLBANK) a good buy?
On the numbers, RBL Bank (RBLBANK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 66.7× earnings, ROE of 5.5%, a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RBLBANK overvalued or undervalued?
RBLBANK trades at 66.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the RBLBANK share price target for 2031?
RBLBANK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹739, with an 80% range of ₹261–₹2,066 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RBLBANK doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RBLBANK reaching ₹758 (2×) within 5 years is 49%.
What is the bull case for RBLBANK?
Low price-to-book of 1.41×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹433 (+14%).
What are the risks in RBLBANK?
A rich 66.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 5.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.