RCF
Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited (RCF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RCF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited (RCF) trades at ₹128,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited (RCF) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.9× earnings, ROE of 8.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RCF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How RCF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- RCF's market cap of 7,002 Cr ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RCF's book value of ₹93 ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RCF's promoter holding of 75.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RCF's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -24.0% ranks in the 9th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RCF's 3-year revenue growth of -5.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RCF's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.81x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is RCF overvalued? RCF P/E vs peers
RCF trades at 17.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
RCF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RCF history (10%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCF 2027 | ₹80 | ₹130 | ₹211 | +2% |
| RCF 2028 | ₹66 | ₹133 | ₹266 | +5% |
| RCF 2029 | ₹59 | ₹136 | ₹314 | +7% |
| RCF 2030 | ₹52 | ₹139 | ₹370 | +10% |
| RCF 2031 | ₹48 | ₹142 | ₹425 | +12% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RCF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RCF
- RCF's P/E of 17.7x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.38×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹314.
The bear case & risks
- RCF's return on equity of 8.0% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹59.
RCF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years RCF compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹80-₹211, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RCF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RCF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RCF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RCF price target & forecast page.
RCF Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RCF scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
RCF MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RCF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 32.57% | 3.1× |
| Groww | 32.77% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.57% | 3.1× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 32.90% | 3.0× |
| Pocketful | 33.15% | 3.0× |
| Anand Rathi | 32.57% | 3.1× |
| Bajaj Broking | 37.00% | 2.7× |
| Share India | 32.73% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the RCF MTF page.
About Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited (RCF) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,068 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the RCF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RCF analysis, FAQs
Is Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited (RCF) a good buy?
On the numbers, Rashtriya Chemicals And Fertilizers Limited (RCF) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.9× earnings, ROE of 8.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RCF overvalued or undervalued?
RCF trades at 17.9× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the RCF share price target for 2031?
RCF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹142, with an 80% range of ₹48-₹425 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RCF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RCF reaching ₹254 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for RCF?
RCF's P/E of 17.7x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.38×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in RCF?
RCF's return on equity of 8.0% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.