Case study

RELIGARE

Religare Enterprises

Mixed signals1y model -4.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Religare Enterprises (RELIGARE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RELIGARE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.

On the numbers, Religare Enterprises (RELIGARE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RELIGARE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RELIGARE history (3%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RELIGARE 2027₹146₹241₹404-5%
RELIGARE 2028₹114₹230₹473-9%
RELIGARE 2029₹92₹222₹536-12%
RELIGARE 2030₹78₹209₹584-17%
RELIGARE 2031₹65₹201₹626-21%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RELIGARE goes up, or doubles?

45%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
39%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
15%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹507 within 5 years

The bull case for RELIGARE

  • Religare Enterprises is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹536.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹92.

RELIGARE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years RELIGARE compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹146₹404, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RELIGARE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.9%
80% range₹146–₹404
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.4%
80% range₹92–₹536
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)11%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
20.8%
80% range₹65–₹626
P(price ↑)39%
P(price 2×)15%

RELIGARE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RELIGARE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RELIGARE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RELIGARE price target & forecast page.

RELIGARE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RELIGARE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.5%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST33.5%3.0×

Compare every broker on the RELIGARE MTF page.

RELIGARE vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
RELIGARE (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Religare Enterprises: sector, index & market-cap context

Religare Enterprises (RELIGARE) is an NSE-listed company.

How the RELIGARE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Religare Enterprises's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RELIGARE analysis, FAQs

Is Religare Enterprises (RELIGARE) a good buy?

On the numbers, Religare Enterprises (RELIGARE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RELIGARE overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for RELIGARE are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the RELIGARE share price target for 2031?

RELIGARE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹201, with an 80% range of ₹65₹626 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RELIGARE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RELIGARE reaching ₹507 (2×) within 5 years is 15%.

What is the bull case for RELIGARE?

Religare Enterprises is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in RELIGARE?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on RELIGARE