Case study

RENUKA

Shree Renuka Sugars Limited

Tread carefully1y model +4.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

37Score

Shree Renuka Sugars Limited (RENUKA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RENUKA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Shree Renuka Sugars Limited (RENUKA) trades at ₹22,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100.

On the numbers, Shree Renuka Sugars Limited (RENUKA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing ROE of 1.0%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RENUKA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,719 Cr
Current price
₹22
Book value
₹-13
ROCE
-3.1%
ROE
1.0%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How RENUKA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for RENUKA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

RENUKA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RENUKA history (3%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RENUKA 2027₹15₹23₹37+5%
RENUKA 2028₹13₹24₹47+10%
RENUKA 2029₹11₹26₹58+15%
RENUKA 2030₹11₹27₹68+21%
RENUKA 2031₹10₹28₹82+27%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RENUKA goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
61%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹44 within 5 years

The bull case for RENUKA

  • Shree Renuka Sugars Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹58.

The bear case & risks

  • RENUKA's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • RENUKA's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹11.

RENUKA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years RENUKA compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹15-₹37, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RENUKA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.9%
80% range₹15-₹37
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.4%
80% range₹11-₹58
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
27.0%
80% range₹10-₹82
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)29%

RENUKA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RENUKA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RENUKA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RENUKA price target & forecast page.

RENUKA Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RENUKA scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

RENUKA MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RENUKA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST31.64%3.2×
Groww40.00%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST31.64%3.2×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money35.26%2.8×
Pocketful32.12%3.1×
Fyers33.33%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST31.64%3.2×
Bajaj Broking45.00%2.2×
Share India31.78%3.1×

Compare every broker on the RENUKA MTF page.

About Shree Renuka Sugars Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Shree Renuka Sugars Limited (RENUKA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,719 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RENUKA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shree Renuka Sugars Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RENUKA analysis, FAQs

Is Shree Renuka Sugars Limited (RENUKA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Shree Renuka Sugars Limited (RENUKA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing ROE of 1.0%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RENUKA overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for RENUKA are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the RENUKA share price target for 2031?

RENUKA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹28, with an 80% range of ₹10-₹82 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RENUKA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RENUKA reaching ₹44 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for RENUKA?

Shree Renuka Sugars Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in RENUKA?

RENUKA's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. RENUKA's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on RENUKA