RENUKA
Shree Renuka Sugars
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Shree Renuka Sugars (RENUKA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RENUKA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, Shree Renuka Sugars (RENUKA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 12% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RENUKA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RENUKA history (-39%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RENUKA 2027 | ₹9 | ₹15 | ₹24 | -37% |
| RENUKA 2028 | ₹5 | ₹9 | ₹18 | -61% |
| RENUKA 2029 | ₹3 | ₹6 | ₹13 | -75% |
| RENUKA 2030 | ₹1 | ₹4 | ₹9 | -84% |
| RENUKA 2031 | ₹1 | ₹2 | ₹7 | -90% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RENUKA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RENUKA
- Shree Renuka Sugars is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹13.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 12% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3.
RENUKA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years RENUKA compounded at -39%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹9–₹24, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RENUKA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RENUKA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RENUKA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RENUKA price target & forecast page.
RENUKA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RENUKA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the RENUKA MTF page.
RENUKA vs peers,sector comparison
About Shree Renuka Sugars: sector, index & market-cap context
Shree Renuka Sugars (RENUKA) is an NSE-listed company.
How the RENUKA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shree Renuka Sugars's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RENUKA analysis, FAQs
Is Shree Renuka Sugars (RENUKA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Shree Renuka Sugars (RENUKA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 12% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RENUKA overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for RENUKA are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the RENUKA share price target for 2031?
RENUKA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2, with an 80% range of ₹1–₹7 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RENUKA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RENUKA reaching ₹46 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for RENUKA?
Shree Renuka Sugars is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in RENUKA?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 12% chance of finishing above today's price.