RGL
RGL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
RGL (RGL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RGL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, RGL (RGL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RGL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RGL history (3%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGL 2027 | ₹51 | ₹99 | ₹197 | -11% |
| RGL 2028 | ₹33 | ₹88 | ₹234 | -21% |
| RGL 2029 | ₹24 | ₹79 | ₹263 | -29% |
| RGL 2030 | ₹18 | ₹71 | ₹283 | -36% |
| RGL 2031 | ₹14 | ₹63 | ₹290 | -43% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RGL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RGL
- RGL is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹263.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 41% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹24.
RGL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years RGL compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹51–₹197, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RGL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RGL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RGL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RGL price target & forecast page.
RGL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RGL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 40.3% | 2.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 40.3% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the RGL MTF page.
RGL vs peers,sector comparison
About RGL: sector, index & market-cap context
RGL (RGL) is an NSE-listed company.
How the RGL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of RGL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RGL analysis, FAQs
Is RGL (RGL) a good buy?
On the numbers, RGL (RGL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RGL overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for RGL are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the RGL share price target for 2031?
RGL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹63, with an 80% range of ₹14–₹290 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RGL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RGL reaching ₹223 (2×) within 5 years is 15%.
What is the bull case for RGL?
RGL is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in RGL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 41% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.