Case study

RGL

Renaissance Global Limited

Mixed signals1y model -2.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

Renaissance Global Limited (RGL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RGL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Renaissance Global Limited (RGL) trades at ₹122,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Renaissance Global Limited (RGL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.2× earnings, ROE of 6.9%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RGL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,318 Cr
Current price
₹122
P/E ratio
13.2×
P/B ratio
0.87×
Book value
₹141
ROCE
8.0%
ROE
6.9%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How RGL ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is RGL overvalued? RGL P/E vs peers

RGL trades at 13.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

RGL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RGL history (16%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RGL 2027₹61₹120₹239-2%
RGL 2028₹45₹118₹312-4%
RGL 2029₹35₹115₹376-6%
RGL 2030₹28₹113₹454-9%
RGL 2031₹23₹110₹523-11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RGL goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹246 within 5 years

The bull case for RGL

  • RGL's P/E of 13.2x is lower than 79% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹376.

The bear case & risks

  • RGL's return on equity of 6.9% ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹35.

RGL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years RGL compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹61-₹239, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RGL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.2%
80% range₹61-₹239
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.5%
80% range₹35-₹376
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
10.6%
80% range₹23-₹523
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)25%

RGL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RGL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RGL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RGL price target & forecast page.

RGL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RGL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

RGL MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RGL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha38.99%2.6×
Groww39.09%2.6×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money39.17%2.6×
Pocketful39.57%2.5×
Anand Rathi38.99%2.6×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST38.96%2.6×

Compare every broker on the RGL MTF page.

About Renaissance Global Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Renaissance Global Limited (RGL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,318 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RGL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Renaissance Global Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RGL analysis, FAQs

Is Renaissance Global Limited (RGL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Renaissance Global Limited (RGL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.2× earnings, ROE of 6.9%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RGL overvalued or undervalued?

RGL trades at 13.2× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the RGL share price target for 2031?

RGL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹110, with an 80% range of ₹23-₹523 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RGL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RGL reaching ₹246 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for RGL?

RGL's P/E of 13.2x is lower than 79% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in RGL?

RGL's return on equity of 6.9% ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on RGL