Case study

RICOAUTO

Rico Auto Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model -2.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

34Score

Rico Auto Industries Limited (RICOAUTO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RICOAUTO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Rico Auto Industries Limited (RICOAUTO) trades at ₹152,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.

On the numbers, Rico Auto Industries Limited (RICOAUTO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 36.2× earnings, ROE of 7.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RICOAUTO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,050 Cr
Current price
₹152
P/E ratio
36.2×
P/B ratio
2.64×
Book value
₹58
Dividend yield
0.33%
ROCE
9.0%
ROE
7.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How RICOAUTO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is RICOAUTO overvalued? RICOAUTO P/E vs peers

RICOAUTO trades at 36.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

RICOAUTO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RICOAUTO history (10%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RICOAUTO 2027₹75₹148₹293-2%
RICOAUTO 2028₹55₹144₹378-5%
RICOAUTO 2029₹43₹141₹462-7%
RICOAUTO 2030₹36₹138₹528-9%
RICOAUTO 2031₹30₹134₹597-11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RICOAUTO goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹303 within 5 years

The bull case for RICOAUTO

  • Rico Auto Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹462.

The bear case & risks

  • RICOAUTO's P/E of 36.2x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • RICOAUTO's return on equity of 7.5% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹43.

RICOAUTO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years RICOAUTO compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹75-₹293, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RICOAUTO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹75-₹293
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.0%
80% range₹43-₹462
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.3%
80% range₹30-₹597
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)24%

RICOAUTO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RICOAUTO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RICOAUTO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RICOAUTO price target & forecast page.

RICOAUTO Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RICOAUTO scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

RICOAUTO MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RICOAUTO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox40.58%2.5×
Zerodha40.51%2.5×
Groww40.61%2.5×
Dhan40.51%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.49%2.5×
Paytm Money40.70%2.5×
Pocketful40.65%2.5×
Fyers41.67%2.4×
Anand Rathi40.51%2.5×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST40.47%2.5×

Compare every broker on the RICOAUTO MTF page.

About Rico Auto Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Rico Auto Industries Limited (RICOAUTO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,050 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RICOAUTO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Rico Auto Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RICOAUTO analysis, FAQs

Is Rico Auto Industries Limited (RICOAUTO) a good buy?

On the numbers, Rico Auto Industries Limited (RICOAUTO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 36.2× earnings, ROE of 7.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RICOAUTO overvalued or undervalued?

RICOAUTO trades at 36.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the RICOAUTO share price target for 2031?

RICOAUTO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹134, with an 80% range of ₹30-₹597 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RICOAUTO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RICOAUTO reaching ₹303 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for RICOAUTO?

Rico Auto Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in RICOAUTO?

RICOAUTO's P/E of 36.2x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. RICOAUTO's return on equity of 7.5% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on RICOAUTO