Case study

RIIL

Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited

Tread carefully1y model +4.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited (RIIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RIIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited (RIIL) trades at ₹759,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited (RIIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 94.4× earnings, ROE of 2.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RIIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,145 Cr
Current price
₹759
P/E ratio
94.4×
P/B ratio
2.42×
Book value
₹314
Dividend yield
0.46%
ROCE
3.0%
ROE
2.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How RIIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for RIIL, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is RIIL overvalued? RIIL P/E vs peers

RIIL trades at 94.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

RIIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RIIL history (6%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RIIL 2027₹479₹789₹1,300+4%
RIIL 2028₹408₹821₹1,653+8%
RIIL 2029₹372₹854₹1,961+13%
RIIL 2030₹337₹889₹2,347+17%
RIIL 2031₹313₹925₹2,736+22%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RIIL goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,517 within 5 years

The bull case for RIIL

  • Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,961.

The bear case & risks

  • RIIL's P/E of 94.4x is lower than 12% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • RIIL's return on equity of 2.6% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹372.

RIIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years RIIL compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹479-₹1,300, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RIIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹479-₹1,300
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.6%
80% range₹372-₹1,961
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
21.9%
80% range₹313-₹2,736
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)28%

RIIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RIIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RIIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RIIL price target & forecast page.

RIIL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RIIL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

RIIL MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RIIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.54%3.1×
Groww32.72%3.1×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money32.86%3.0×
Pocketful33.05%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.54%3.1×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India32.69%3.1×

Compare every broker on the RIIL MTF page.

Which ace investors hold RIIL?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited (RIIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,145 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RIIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RIIL analysis, FAQs

Is Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited (RIIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited (RIIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 94.4× earnings, ROE of 2.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RIIL overvalued or undervalued?

RIIL trades at 94.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the RIIL share price target for 2031?

RIIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹925, with an 80% range of ₹313-₹2,736 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RIIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RIIL reaching ₹1,517 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for RIIL?

Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in RIIL?

RIIL's P/E of 94.4x is lower than 12% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. RIIL's return on equity of 2.6% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on RIIL