Case study

RITCO

Ritco Logistics Ltd.

Mixed signals1y model +3.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

Ritco Logistics Ltd. (RITCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RITCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Ritco Logistics Ltd. (RITCO) trades at ₹297,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, Ritco Logistics Ltd. (RITCO) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.6× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RITCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹851 Cr
Current price
₹297
P/E ratio
23.6×
P/B ratio
2.34×
Book value
₹127
ROCE
10.1%
ROE
10.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How RITCO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is RITCO overvalued? RITCO P/E vs peers

RITCO trades at 23.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

RITCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.3y of RITCO history (19%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RITCO 2027₹176₹312₹552+4%
RITCO 2028₹145₹324₹724+8%
RITCO 2029₹131₹336₹863+12%
RITCO 2030₹118₹348₹1,029+16%
RITCO 2031₹104₹361₹1,258+20%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RITCO goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹601 within 5 years

The bull case for RITCO

  • RITCO's P/E of 23.6x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹863.

The bear case & risks

  • RITCO's return on equity of 10.5% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹131.

RITCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 7.3 years RITCO compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹176-₹552, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RITCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 7.3 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.7%
80% range₹176-₹552
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.6%
80% range₹131-₹863
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
20.1%
80% range₹104-₹1,258
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)30%

RITCO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RITCO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RITCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RITCO price target & forecast page.

RITCO Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RITCO scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

RITCO MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RITCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww35.55%2.8×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST35.54%2.8×

Compare every broker on the RITCO MTF page.

About Ritco Logistics Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

Ritco Logistics Ltd. (RITCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹851 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RITCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ritco Logistics Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RITCO analysis, FAQs

Is Ritco Logistics Ltd. (RITCO) a good buy?

On the numbers, Ritco Logistics Ltd. (RITCO) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.6× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RITCO overvalued or undervalued?

RITCO trades at 23.6× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the RITCO share price target for 2031?

RITCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹361, with an 80% range of ₹104-₹1,258 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RITCO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RITCO reaching ₹601 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for RITCO?

RITCO's P/E of 23.6x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in RITCO?

RITCO's return on equity of 10.5% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on RITCO