RITES
RITES
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
RITES (RITES) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RITES a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
RITES (RITES) trades at ₹214,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, RITES (RITES) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing premium at 25.0× earnings, ROE of 15.4%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RITES fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is RITES overvalued? RITES P/E vs its sector
RITES's P/E of 25.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 3.53% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
RITES share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RITES history (-26%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RITES 2027 | ₹93 | ₹153 | ₹254 | -28% |
| RITES 2028 | ₹54 | ₹111 | ₹221 | -48% |
| RITES 2029 | ₹33 | ₹78 | ₹187 | -63% |
| RITES 2030 | ₹21 | ₹56 | ₹153 | -74% |
| RITES 2031 | ₹13 | ₹41 | ₹123 | -81% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RITES goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RITES
- A healthy 15.4% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (22.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 3.5% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹187.
The bear case & risks
- At 25.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹33.
RITES volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years RITES compounded at -26%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹93–₹254, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RITES price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RITES price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RITES hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RITES price target & forecast page.
RITES Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. RITES scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
RITES MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RITES with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the RITES MTF page.
RITES vs peers,sector comparison
About RITES: sector, index & market-cap context
RITES (RITES) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,277 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the RITES Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of RITES's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RITES analysis, FAQs
Is RITES (RITES) a good buy?
On the numbers, RITES (RITES) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing premium at 25.0× earnings, ROE of 15.4%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RITES overvalued or undervalued?
RITES trades at 25.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the RITES share price target for 2031?
RITES's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹41, with an 80% range of ₹13–₹123 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RITES doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RITES reaching ₹427 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for RITES?
A healthy 15.4% return on equity. Strong ROCE (22.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. Pays a 3.5% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in RITES?
At 25.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.