RKFORGE
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (RKFORGE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RKFORGE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (RKFORGE) trades at ₹727,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (RKFORGE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 115.0× earnings, ROE of 2.6%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RKFORGE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How RKFORGE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- RKFORGE's market cap of 13,236 Cr ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RKFORGE's book value of ₹181 ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RKFORGE's promoter holding of 43.4% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RKFORGE's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -31.0% ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RKFORGE's 3-year revenue growth of 10.0% ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RKFORGE's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74x is lower than 23% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is RKFORGE overvalued? RKFORGE P/E vs peers
RKFORGE trades at 115.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
RKFORGE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RKFORGE history (22%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKFORGE 2027 | ₹479 | ₹771 | ₹1,240 | +6% |
| RKFORGE 2028 | ₹414 | ₹818 | ₹1,619 | +13% |
| RKFORGE 2029 | ₹374 | ₹869 | ₹2,019 | +20% |
| RKFORGE 2030 | ₹348 | ₹922 | ₹2,444 | +27% |
| RKFORGE 2031 | ₹330 | ₹978 | ₹2,904 | +35% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RKFORGE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RKFORGE
- Ramkrishna Forgings Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,019.
The bear case & risks
- RKFORGE's P/E of 115.0x is lower than 9% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- RKFORGE's return on equity of 2.6% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹374.
RKFORGE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years RKFORGE compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹479-₹1,240, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RKFORGE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RKFORGE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RKFORGE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RKFORGE price target & forecast page.
RKFORGE Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RKFORGE scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
RKFORGE MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RKFORGE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 32.74% | 3.1× |
| Zerodha | 32.79% | 3.0× |
| Groww | 32.80% | 3.0× |
| Dhan | 32.79% | 3.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 32.79% | 3.0× |
| Paytm Money | 33.19% | 3.0× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 32.36% | 3.1× |
| Fyers | 33.33% | 3.0× |
| Anand Rathi | 32.79% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Share India | 32.80% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the RKFORGE MTF page.
About Ramkrishna Forgings Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (RKFORGE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,236 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the RKFORGE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ramkrishna Forgings Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RKFORGE analysis, FAQs
Is Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (RKFORGE) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (RKFORGE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 115.0× earnings, ROE of 2.6%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RKFORGE overvalued or undervalued?
RKFORGE trades at 115.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the RKFORGE share price target for 2031?
RKFORGE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹978, with an 80% range of ₹330-₹2,904 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RKFORGE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RKFORGE reaching ₹1,453 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for RKFORGE?
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in RKFORGE?
RKFORGE's P/E of 115.0x is lower than 9% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. RKFORGE's return on equity of 2.6% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.