Case study

RKSWAMY

R K Swamy Limited

Mixed signals1y model -0.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

R K Swamy Limited (RKSWAMY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RKSWAMY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

R K Swamy Limited (RKSWAMY) trades at ₹103,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, R K Swamy Limited (RKSWAMY) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.4× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RKSWAMY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹522 Cr
Current price
₹103
P/E ratio
21.4×
P/B ratio
1.97×
Book value
₹52
Dividend yield
1.94%
ROCE
12.3%
ROE
9.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How RKSWAMY ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is RKSWAMY overvalued? RKSWAMY P/E vs peers

RKSWAMY trades at 21.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

RKSWAMY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.4y of RKSWAMY history (-39%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RKSWAMY 2027₹59₹102₹177-1%
RKSWAMY 2028₹47₹102₹219-2%
RKSWAMY 2029₹39₹101₹260-3%
RKSWAMY 2030₹34₹100₹294-3%
RKSWAMY 2031₹29₹99₹333-4%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RKSWAMY goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
48%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹207 within 5 years

The bull case for RKSWAMY

  • RKSWAMY's P/E of 21.4x is lower than 60% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹260.

The bear case & risks

  • RKSWAMY's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹39.

RKSWAMY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.4 years RKSWAMY compounded at -39%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹59-₹177, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RKSWAMY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.4 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹59-₹177
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.5%
80% range₹39-₹260
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
4.1%
80% range₹29-₹333
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)22%

RKSWAMY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RKSWAMY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RKSWAMY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RKSWAMY price target & forecast page.

RKSWAMY Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RKSWAMY scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

RKSWAMY MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RKSWAMY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST34.14%2.9×
Share India34.24%2.9×

Compare every broker on the RKSWAMY MTF page.

About R K Swamy Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

R K Swamy Limited (RKSWAMY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹522 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RKSWAMY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of R K Swamy Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RKSWAMY analysis, FAQs

Is R K Swamy Limited (RKSWAMY) a good buy?

On the numbers, R K Swamy Limited (RKSWAMY) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.4× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RKSWAMY overvalued or undervalued?

RKSWAMY trades at 21.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the RKSWAMY share price target for 2031?

RKSWAMY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹99, with an 80% range of ₹29-₹333 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RKSWAMY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RKSWAMY reaching ₹207 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for RKSWAMY?

RKSWAMY's P/E of 21.4x is lower than 60% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in RKSWAMY?

RKSWAMY's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on RKSWAMY