Case study

ROHLTD

Royal Orchid Hotels Limited

Mixed signals1y model +3.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Royal Orchid Hotels Limited (ROHLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ROHLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Royal Orchid Hotels Limited (ROHLTD) trades at ₹323,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Royal Orchid Hotels Limited (ROHLTD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 28.6× earnings, ROE of 12.7%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ROHLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹886 Cr
Current price
₹323
P/E ratio
28.6×
P/B ratio
3.43×
Book value
₹94
Dividend yield
0.77%
ROCE
10.8%
ROE
12.7%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How ROHLTD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ROHLTD overvalued? ROHLTD P/E vs peers

ROHLTD trades at 28.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ROHLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ROHLTD history (14%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ROHLTD 2027₹199₹333₹556+3%
ROHLTD 2028₹167₹343₹706+6%
ROHLTD 2029₹146₹353₹856+9%
ROHLTD 2030₹131₹364₹1,008+13%
ROHLTD 2031₹117₹375₹1,203+16%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ROHLTD goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹646 within 5 years

The bull case for ROHLTD

  • ROHLTD's return on equity of 12.7% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹856.

The bear case & risks

  • ROHLTD's P/E of 28.6x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹146.

ROHLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ROHLTD compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹199-₹556, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ROHLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.0%
80% range₹199-₹556
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.3%
80% range₹146-₹856
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
16.0%
80% range₹117-₹1,203
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)27%

ROHLTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ROHLTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ROHLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ROHLTD price target & forecast page.

ROHLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ROHLTD scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

ROHLTD MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ROHLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST33.96%2.9×

Compare every broker on the ROHLTD MTF page.

About Royal Orchid Hotels Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Royal Orchid Hotels Limited (ROHLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹886 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ROHLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Royal Orchid Hotels Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ROHLTD analysis, FAQs

Is Royal Orchid Hotels Limited (ROHLTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, Royal Orchid Hotels Limited (ROHLTD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 28.6× earnings, ROE of 12.7%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ROHLTD overvalued or undervalued?

ROHLTD trades at 28.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ROHLTD share price target for 2031?

ROHLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹375, with an 80% range of ₹117-₹1,203 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ROHLTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ROHLTD reaching ₹646 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for ROHLTD?

ROHLTD's return on equity of 12.7% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ROHLTD?

ROHLTD's P/E of 28.6x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ROHLTD