RPOWER
Reliance Power
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Reliance Power (RPOWER) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RPOWER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Reliance Power (RPOWER) trades at ₹27,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.
On the numbers, Reliance Power (RPOWER) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 38.8× earnings, ROE of -0.9%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RPOWER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is RPOWER overvalued? RPOWER P/E vs its sector
RPOWER's P/E of 38.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
RPOWER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RPOWER history (-7%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPOWER 2027 | ₹11 | ₹21 | ₹43 | -19% |
| RPOWER 2028 | ₹7 | ₹17 | ₹45 | -34% |
| RPOWER 2029 | ₹4 | ₹14 | ₹46 | -47% |
| RPOWER 2030 | ₹3 | ₹11 | ₹46 | -57% |
| RPOWER 2031 | ₹2 | ₹9 | ₹43 | -65% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RPOWER goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RPOWER
- Low price-to-book of 0.68×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹46.
The bear case & risks
- At 38.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹4.
RPOWER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years RPOWER compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹11–₹43, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RPOWER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RPOWER price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RPOWER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RPOWER price target & forecast page.
RPOWER Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. RPOWER scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
RPOWER MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RPOWER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 39.6% | 2.5× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 39.6% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the RPOWER MTF page.
RPOWER vs peers,sector comparison
About Reliance Power: sector, index & market-cap context
Reliance Power (RPOWER) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,947 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the RPOWER Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Reliance Power's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RPOWER analysis, FAQs
Is Reliance Power (RPOWER) a good buy?
On the numbers, Reliance Power (RPOWER) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 38.8× earnings, ROE of -0.9%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RPOWER overvalued or undervalued?
RPOWER trades at 38.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the RPOWER share price target for 2031?
RPOWER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹9, with an 80% range of ₹2–₹43 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RPOWER doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RPOWER reaching ₹52 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.
What is the bull case for RPOWER?
Low price-to-book of 0.68×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in RPOWER?
At 38.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.