RUPA
RUPA
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
RUPA (RUPA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RUPA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, RUPA (RUPA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RUPA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RUPA history (-28%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUPA 2027 | ₹70 | ₹113 | ₹181 | -30% |
| RUPA 2028 | ₹41 | ₹79 | ₹155 | -51% |
| RUPA 2029 | ₹25 | ₹56 | ₹126 | -65% |
| RUPA 2030 | ₹16 | ₹40 | ₹101 | -75% |
| RUPA 2031 | ₹10 | ₹28 | ₹79 | -83% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RUPA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RUPA
- RUPA is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹126.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹25.
RUPA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years RUPA compounded at -28%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹70–₹181, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RUPA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RUPA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RUPA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RUPA price target & forecast page.
RUPA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RUPA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the RUPA MTF page.
Which ace investors hold RUPA?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
RUPA vs peers,sector comparison
About RUPA: sector, index & market-cap context
RUPA (RUPA) is an NSE-listed company.
How the RUPA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of RUPA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RUPA analysis, FAQs
Is RUPA (RUPA) a good buy?
On the numbers, RUPA (RUPA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RUPA overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for RUPA are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the RUPA share price target for 2031?
RUPA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹28, with an 80% range of ₹10–₹79 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RUPA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RUPA reaching ₹322 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for RUPA?
RUPA is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in RUPA?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.