Case study

RUPA

Rupa & Company Limited

Mixed signals1y model +1.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

Rupa & Company Limited (RUPA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RUPA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Rupa & Company Limited (RUPA) trades at ₹168,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, Rupa & Company Limited (RUPA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.4× earnings, ROE of 7.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RUPA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,334 Cr
Current price
₹168
P/E ratio
17.4×
P/B ratio
1.25×
Book value
₹134
Dividend yield
1.79%
ROCE
9.6%
ROE
7.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How RUPA ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is RUPA overvalued? RUPA P/E vs peers

RUPA trades at 17.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

RUPA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of RUPA history (-6%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RUPA 2027₹106₹168₹267+2%
RUPA 2028₹90₹171₹325+4%
RUPA 2029₹79₹174₹384+6%
RUPA 2030₹72₹177₹438+8%
RUPA 2031₹66₹181₹496+10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RUPA goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹330 within 5 years

The bull case for RUPA

  • RUPA's P/E of 17.4x is lower than 68% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.25×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹384.

The bear case & risks

  • RUPA's return on equity of 7.4% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹79.

RUPA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years RUPA compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹106-₹267, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RUPA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.9%
80% range₹106-₹267
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.7%
80% range₹79-₹384
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
9.6%
80% range₹66-₹496
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)22%

RUPA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RUPA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RUPA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RUPA price target & forecast page.

RUPA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RUPA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

RUPA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RUPA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.39%3.1×
Groww32.45%3.1×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful32.88%3.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.39%3.1×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India32.43%3.1×

Compare every broker on the RUPA MTF page.

Which ace investors hold RUPA?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Rupa & Company Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Rupa & Company Limited (RUPA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,334 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RUPA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Rupa & Company Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RUPA analysis, FAQs

Is Rupa & Company Limited (RUPA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Rupa & Company Limited (RUPA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.4× earnings, ROE of 7.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RUPA overvalued or undervalued?

RUPA trades at 17.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the RUPA share price target for 2031?

RUPA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹181, with an 80% range of ₹66-₹496 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RUPA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RUPA reaching ₹330 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for RUPA?

RUPA's P/E of 17.4x is lower than 68% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.25×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in RUPA?

RUPA's return on equity of 7.4% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

More on RUPA