SAGCEM
SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED (SAGCEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SAGCEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED (SAGCEM) trades at ₹174,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.
On the numbers, SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED (SAGCEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 130.0× earnings, ROE of -1.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SAGCEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SAGCEM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SAGCEM's market cap of 2,261 Cr ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAGCEM's book value of ₹130 ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAGCEM's promoter holding of 48.3% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAGCEM's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -11.0% ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAGCEM's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAGCEM's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.01x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SAGCEM overvalued? SAGCEM P/E vs peers
SAGCEM trades at 130.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SAGCEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SAGCEM history (3%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAGCEM 2027 | ₹117 | ₹181 | ₹280 | +5% |
| SAGCEM 2028 | ₹103 | ₹189 | ₹349 | +9% |
| SAGCEM 2029 | ₹93 | ₹198 | ₹423 | +15% |
| SAGCEM 2030 | ₹85 | ₹207 | ₹504 | +20% |
| SAGCEM 2031 | ₹81 | ₹217 | ₹581 | +25% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SAGCEM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SAGCEM
- Low price-to-book of 1.34×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹423.
The bear case & risks
- SAGCEM's P/E of 130.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAGCEM's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹93.
SAGCEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SAGCEM compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹117-₹280, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SAGCEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SAGCEM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SAGCEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SAGCEM price target & forecast page.
SAGCEM Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SAGCEM scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
SAGCEM MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SAGCEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 31.92% | 3.1× |
| Dhan | 49.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 31.88% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the SAGCEM MTF page.
About SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED (SAGCEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,278 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SAGCEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SAGCEM analysis, FAQs
Is SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED (SAGCEM) a good buy?
On the numbers, SAGAR CEMENTS LIMITED (SAGCEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 130.0× earnings, ROE of -1.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SAGCEM overvalued or undervalued?
SAGCEM trades at 130.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SAGCEM share price target for 2031?
SAGCEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹217, with an 80% range of ₹81-₹581 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SAGCEM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SAGCEM reaching ₹346 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for SAGCEM?
Low price-to-book of 1.34×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in SAGCEM?
SAGCEM's P/E of 130.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SAGCEM's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.