Case study

SAGILITY

SAGILITY LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +9.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

SAGILITY LIMITED (SAGILITY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SAGILITY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SAGILITY LIMITED (SAGILITY) trades at ₹40,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, SAGILITY LIMITED (SAGILITY) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SAGILITY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹18,664 Cr
Current price
₹40
P/E ratio
19.7×
P/B ratio
1.94×
Book value
₹21
Dividend yield
0.12%
ROCE
13.4%
ROE
10.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is SAGILITY overvalued? SAGILITY P/E vs its sector

SAGILITY's P/E of 19.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.12% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

SAGILITY P/E
19.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
SAGILITY div yield
0.12%
Peer median yield
1.65%

SAGILITY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.6y of SAGILITY history (19%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SAGILITY 2027₹25₹43₹74+10%
SAGILITY 2028₹22₹47₹103+20%
SAGILITY 2029₹20₹53₹135+34%
SAGILITY 2030₹19₹59₹174+49%
SAGILITY 2031₹18₹65₹216+64%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SAGILITY goes up, or doubles?

59%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
70%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
42%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹79 within 5 years

The bull case for SAGILITY

  • A 19.7× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹135.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 10.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹20.

SAGILITY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.6 years SAGILITY compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹25₹74, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SAGILITY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.7%
80% range₹25–₹74
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
34.1%
80% range₹20–₹135
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)29%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
64.1%
80% range₹18–₹216
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)42%

SAGILITY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SAGILITY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SAGILITY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SAGILITY price target & forecast page.

SAGILITY Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SAGILITY scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

SAGILITY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SAGILITY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST32.2%3.1×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.2%3.1×
Groww32.4%3.1×
Dhan35.0%2.9×

Compare every broker on the SAGILITY MTF page.

SAGILITY vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
SAGILITY (this stock)19.7×0.12%₹18,664 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About SAGILITY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SAGILITY LIMITED (SAGILITY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,664 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the SAGILITY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SAGILITY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SAGILITY analysis, FAQs

Is SAGILITY LIMITED (SAGILITY) a good buy?

On the numbers, SAGILITY LIMITED (SAGILITY) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SAGILITY overvalued or undervalued?

SAGILITY trades at 19.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the SAGILITY share price target for 2031?

SAGILITY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹65, with an 80% range of ₹18₹216 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SAGILITY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SAGILITY reaching ₹79 (2×) within 5 years is 42%.

What is the bull case for SAGILITY?

A 19.7× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.

What are the risks in SAGILITY?

Return on equity is a soft 10.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.

More on SAGILITY