Case study

SAPPHIRE

SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD

High-risk on the numbers1y model -28.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD (SAPPHIRE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SAPPHIRE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD (SAPPHIRE) trades at ₹192,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100.

On the numbers, SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD (SAPPHIRE) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 43.3× earnings, ROE of -1.0%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SAPPHIRE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,170 Cr
Current price
₹192
P/E ratio
43.3×
P/B ratio
4.43×
Book value
₹43
ROCE
4.0%
ROE
-1.0%
Piotroski F-Score
2/9

Is SAPPHIRE overvalued? SAPPHIRE P/E vs its sector

SAPPHIRE's P/E of 43.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

SAPPHIRE P/E
43.3×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

SAPPHIRE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SAPPHIRE history (-27%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SAPPHIRE 2027₹80₹134₹222-29%
SAPPHIRE 2028₹46₹94₹191-50%
SAPPHIRE 2029₹28₹67₹158-64%
SAPPHIRE 2030₹17₹48₹130-75%
SAPPHIRE 2031₹11₹34₹103-82%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SAPPHIRE goes up, or doubles?

20%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
2%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹376 within 5 years

The bull case for SAPPHIRE

  • SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹158.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 43.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹28.

SAPPHIRE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years SAPPHIRE compounded at -27%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹80₹222, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SAPPHIRE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
28.7%
80% range₹80–₹222
P(price ↑)20%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
64.4%
80% range₹28–₹158
P(price ↑)6%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
82.0%
80% range₹11–₹103
P(price ↑)2%
P(price 2×)0%

SAPPHIRE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SAPPHIRE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SAPPHIRE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SAPPHIRE price target & forecast page.

SAPPHIRE Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?

2/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SAPPHIRE scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

SAPPHIRE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SAPPHIRE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
DhanCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×

Compare every broker on the SAPPHIRE MTF page.

SAPPHIRE vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
SAPPHIRE (this stock)43.3×₹6,170 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD (SAPPHIRE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,170 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the SAPPHIRE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SAPPHIRE analysis, FAQs

Is SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD (SAPPHIRE) a good buy?

On the numbers, SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD (SAPPHIRE) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 43.3× earnings, ROE of -1.0%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SAPPHIRE overvalued or undervalued?

SAPPHIRE trades at 43.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the SAPPHIRE share price target for 2031?

SAPPHIRE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹34, with an 80% range of ₹11₹103 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SAPPHIRE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SAPPHIRE reaching ₹376 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for SAPPHIRE?

SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA LTD is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SAPPHIRE?

A rich 43.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on SAPPHIRE