Case study

SARDAEN

Sarda Energy & Minerals

Worth a closer look1y model +38.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Sarda Energy & Minerals (SARDAEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SARDAEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Sarda Energy & Minerals (SARDAEN) trades at ₹530,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.

On the numbers, Sarda Energy & Minerals (SARDAEN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.0× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SARDAEN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹18,694 Cr
Current price
₹530
P/E ratio
17.0×
P/B ratio
2.54×
Book value
₹209
Dividend yield
0.28%
ROCE
17.4%
ROE
16.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is SARDAEN overvalued? SARDAEN P/E vs its sector

SARDAEN's P/E of 17.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.28% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

SARDAEN P/E
17.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
SARDAEN div yield
0.28%
Peer median yield
1.65%

SARDAEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SARDAEN history (41%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SARDAEN 2027₹422₹725₹1,244+39%
SARDAEN 2028₹454₹993₹2,126+90%
SARDAEN 2029₹529₹1,357₹3,492+159%
SARDAEN 2030₹629₹1,887₹5,643+260%
SARDAEN 2031₹765₹2,568₹8,851+390%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SARDAEN goes up, or doubles?

77%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
95%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
83%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,047 within 5 years

The bull case for SARDAEN

  • A 17.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 16.1% return on equity.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹725 (+39%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,492.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹529.

SARDAEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years SARDAEN compounded at 41%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹422₹1,244, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SARDAEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
38.5%
80% range₹422–₹1,244
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)19%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
159.1%
80% range₹529–₹3,492
P(price ↑)90%
P(price 2×)64%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
390.5%
80% range₹765–₹8,851
P(price ↑)95%
P(price 2×)83%

SARDAEN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SARDAEN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SARDAEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SARDAEN price target & forecast page.

SARDAEN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SARDAEN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

SARDAEN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SARDAEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST33.9%3.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.9%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST33.9%3.0×

Compare every broker on the SARDAEN MTF page.

Which ace investors hold SARDAEN?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

SARDAEN vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
SARDAEN (this stock)17.0×0.28%₹18,694 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Sarda Energy & Minerals: sector, index & market-cap context

Sarda Energy & Minerals (SARDAEN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,694 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the SARDAEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sarda Energy & Minerals's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SARDAEN analysis, FAQs

Is Sarda Energy & Minerals (SARDAEN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Sarda Energy & Minerals (SARDAEN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.0× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SARDAEN overvalued or undervalued?

SARDAEN trades at 17.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the SARDAEN share price target for 2031?

SARDAEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,568, with an 80% range of ₹765₹8,851 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SARDAEN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SARDAEN reaching ₹1,047 (2×) within 5 years is 83%.

What is the bull case for SARDAEN?

A 17.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 16.1% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹725 (+39%).

What are the risks in SARDAEN?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on SARDAEN