Case study

SARDAEN

Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +5.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited (SARDAEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SARDAEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited (SARDAEN) trades at ₹501,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited (SARDAEN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.7× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SARDAEN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹17,654 Cr
Current price
₹501
P/E ratio
15.7×
P/B ratio
2.40×
Book value
₹209
Dividend yield
0.40%
ROCE
17.4%
ROE
16.1%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SARDAEN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SARDAEN overvalued? SARDAEN P/E vs peers

SARDAEN trades at 15.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SARDAEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SARDAEN history (37%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SARDAEN 2027₹310₹527₹895+6%
SARDAEN 2028₹259₹558₹1,200+12%
SARDAEN 2029₹232₹590₹1,504+19%
SARDAEN 2030₹215₹625₹1,815+26%
SARDAEN 2031₹204₹662₹2,147+33%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SARDAEN goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
62%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹995 within 5 years

The bull case for SARDAEN

  • SARDAEN's P/E of 15.6x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SARDAEN's return on equity of 16.1% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,504.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹232.

SARDAEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SARDAEN compounded at 37%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹310-₹895, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SARDAEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.9%
80% range₹310-₹895
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
18.7%
80% range₹232-₹1,504
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
33.0%
80% range₹204-₹2,147
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)33%

SARDAEN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SARDAEN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SARDAEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SARDAEN price target & forecast page.

SARDAEN Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SARDAEN scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SARDAEN MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SARDAEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.92%3.0×
Zerodha32.88%3.0×
Groww33.05%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST32.88%3.0×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money33.67%3.0×
Pocketful33.39%3.0×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Anand Rathi32.88%3.0×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India33.01%3.0×

Compare every broker on the SARDAEN MTF page.

Which ace investors hold SARDAEN?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited (SARDAEN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,654 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SARDAEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SARDAEN analysis, FAQs

Is Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited (SARDAEN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Sarda Energy & Minerals Limited (SARDAEN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.7× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SARDAEN overvalued or undervalued?

SARDAEN trades at 15.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SARDAEN share price target for 2031?

SARDAEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹662, with an 80% range of ₹204-₹2,147 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SARDAEN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SARDAEN reaching ₹995 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for SARDAEN?

SARDAEN's P/E of 15.6x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SARDAEN's return on equity of 16.1% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SARDAEN?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on SARDAEN