SAREGAMA
SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED (SAREGAMA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SAREGAMA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED (SAREGAMA) trades at ₹519,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED (SAREGAMA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 43.9× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SAREGAMA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SAREGAMA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SAREGAMA's market cap of 10,011 Cr ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAREGAMA's book value of ₹88 ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAREGAMA's promoter holding of 60.8% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAREGAMA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 5.0% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAREGAMA's 3-year revenue growth of 10.0% ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAREGAMA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SAREGAMA overvalued? SAREGAMA P/E vs peers
SAREGAMA trades at 43.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SAREGAMA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SAREGAMA history (31%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAREGAMA 2027 | ₹305 | ₹533 | ₹931 | +3% |
| SAREGAMA 2028 | ₹248 | ₹548 | ₹1,207 | +5% |
| SAREGAMA 2029 | ₹216 | ₹562 | ₹1,465 | +8% |
| SAREGAMA 2030 | ₹191 | ₹578 | ₹1,750 | +11% |
| SAREGAMA 2031 | ₹170 | ₹593 | ₹2,071 | +14% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SAREGAMA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SAREGAMA
- SAREGAMA's return on equity of 13.0% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,465.
The bear case & risks
- SAREGAMA's P/E of 43.9x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹216.
SAREGAMA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SAREGAMA compounded at 31%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹305-₹931, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SAREGAMA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SAREGAMA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SAREGAMA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SAREGAMA price target & forecast page.
SAREGAMA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SAREGAMA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
SAREGAMA MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SAREGAMA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.18% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 35.15% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 35.18% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 35.15% | 2.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 35.21% | 2.8× |
| Paytm Money | 35.71% | 2.8× |
| Pocketful | 35.05% | 2.9× |
| Fyers | 35.71% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 35.15% | 2.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 36.00% | 2.8× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 34.89% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the SAREGAMA MTF page.
About SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED (SAREGAMA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,011 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SAREGAMA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SAREGAMA analysis, FAQs
Is SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED (SAREGAMA) a good buy?
On the numbers, SAREGAMA INDIA LIMITED (SAREGAMA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 43.9× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SAREGAMA overvalued or undervalued?
SAREGAMA trades at 43.9× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SAREGAMA share price target for 2031?
SAREGAMA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹593, with an 80% range of ₹170-₹2,071 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SAREGAMA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SAREGAMA reaching ₹1,038 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for SAREGAMA?
SAREGAMA's return on equity of 13.0% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in SAREGAMA?
SAREGAMA's P/E of 43.9x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.