Case study

SAURASHCEM

SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model -0.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

34Score

SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED (SAURASHCEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SAURASHCEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED (SAURASHCEM) trades at ₹69,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.

On the numbers, SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED (SAURASHCEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 35.2× earnings, ROE of 2.3%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SAURASHCEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹765 Cr
Current price
₹69
P/E ratio
35.2×
P/B ratio
0.80×
Book value
₹86
ROCE
2.5%
ROE
2.3%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How SAURASHCEM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for SAURASHCEM, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is SAURASHCEM overvalued? SAURASHCEM P/E vs peers

SAURASHCEM trades at 35.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SAURASHCEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SAURASHCEM history (-2%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SAURASHCEM 2027₹34₹62₹113-0%
SAURASHCEM 2028₹26₹62₹144-1%
SAURASHCEM 2029₹22₹61₹173-1%
SAURASHCEM 2030₹18₹61₹204-2%
SAURASHCEM 2031₹16₹61₹235-2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SAURASHCEM goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹124 within 5 years

The bull case for SAURASHCEM

  • Low price-to-book of 0.80×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹173.

The bear case & risks

  • SAURASHCEM's P/E of 43.1x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SAURASHCEM's return on equity of 2.3% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹22.

SAURASHCEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SAURASHCEM compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹34-₹113, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SAURASHCEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.4%
80% range₹34-₹113
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.2%
80% range₹22-₹173
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹16-₹235
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)25%

SAURASHCEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SAURASHCEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SAURASHCEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SAURASHCEM price target & forecast page.

SAURASHCEM Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SAURASHCEM scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

SAURASHCEM MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SAURASHCEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Groww36.65%2.7×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST36.08%2.8×

Compare every broker on the SAURASHCEM MTF page.

About SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED (SAURASHCEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹765 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SAURASHCEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SAURASHCEM analysis, FAQs

Is SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED (SAURASHCEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, SAURASHTRA CEMENT LIMITED (SAURASHCEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 35.2× earnings, ROE of 2.3%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SAURASHCEM overvalued or undervalued?

SAURASHCEM trades at 35.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SAURASHCEM share price target for 2031?

SAURASHCEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹61, with an 80% range of ₹16-₹235 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SAURASHCEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SAURASHCEM reaching ₹124 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for SAURASHCEM?

Low price-to-book of 0.80×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in SAURASHCEM?

SAURASHCEM's P/E of 43.1x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SAURASHCEM's return on equity of 2.3% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SAURASHCEM