Case study

SBCL

Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited

Mixed signals1y model +2.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited (SBCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SBCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited (SBCL) trades at ₹921,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited (SBCL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 49.8× earnings, ROE of 21.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SBCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,305 Cr
Current price
₹921
P/E ratio
49.8×
P/B ratio
11.02×
Book value
₹84
Dividend yield
0.43%
ROCE
26.8%
ROE
21.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SBCL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SBCL overvalued? SBCL P/E vs peers

SBCL trades at 49.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SBCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SBCL history (48%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SBCL 2027₹521₹940₹1,697+2%
SBCL 2028₹414₹960₹2,225+4%
SBCL 2029₹348₹981₹2,765+7%
SBCL 2030₹304₹1,002₹3,300+9%
SBCL 2031₹271₹1,023₹3,857+11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SBCL goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,841 within 5 years

The bull case for SBCL

  • SBCL's return on equity of 21.8% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SBCL's return on capital employed of 26.8% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,765.

The bear case & risks

  • SBCL's P/E of 49.8x is lower than 27% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 11.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹348.

SBCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SBCL compounded at 48%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹521-₹1,697, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SBCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.1%
80% range₹521-₹1,697
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.6%
80% range₹348-₹2,765
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.2%
80% range₹271-₹3,857
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)29%

SBCL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SBCL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SBCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SBCL price target & forecast page.

SBCL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SBCL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SBCL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SBCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST36.35%2.8×
Zerodha38.29%2.6×
Groww50.00%2.0×
Dhan38.29%2.6×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money36.70%2.7×
Pocketful37.00%2.7×
Anand Rathi38.29%2.6×
Bajaj Broking39.00%2.6×
Share India36.48%2.7×

Compare every broker on the SBCL MTF page.

About Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited (SBCL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,305 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SBCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SBCL analysis, FAQs

Is Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited (SBCL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Shivalik Bimetal Controls Limited (SBCL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 49.8× earnings, ROE of 21.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SBCL overvalued or undervalued?

SBCL trades at 49.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SBCL share price target for 2031?

SBCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,023, with an 80% range of ₹271-₹3,857 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SBCL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SBCL reaching ₹1,841 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for SBCL?

SBCL's return on equity of 21.8% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SBCL's return on capital employed of 26.8% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SBCL?

SBCL's P/E of 49.8x is lower than 27% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 11.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SBCL