SCI
Shipping Corporation of India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SCI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) trades at ₹323,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.
On the numbers, Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.1× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SCI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SCI overvalued? SCI P/E vs its sector
SCI's P/E of 11.1× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 2.04% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
SCI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SCI history (9%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCI 2027 | ₹163 | ₹305 | ₹569 | -2% |
| SCI 2028 | ₹124 | ₹300 | ₹724 | -4% |
| SCI 2029 | ₹100 | ₹293 | ₹867 | -6% |
| SCI 2030 | ₹84 | ₹287 | ₹981 | -8% |
| SCI 2031 | ₹69 | ₹279 | ₹1,090 | -11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SCI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SCI
- Trades at just 11.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- A healthy 15.5% return on equity.
- Pays a 2.0% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹867.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹100.
SCI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SCI compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹163–₹569, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SCI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SCI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SCI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SCI price target & forecast page.
SCI Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SCI scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SCI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SCI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 43.1% | 2.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the SCI MTF page.
SCI vs peers,sector comparison
About Shipping Corporation of India: sector, index & market-cap context
Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹15,041 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the SCI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shipping Corporation of India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SCI analysis, FAQs
Is Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) a good buy?
On the numbers, Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.1× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SCI overvalued or undervalued?
SCI trades at 11.1× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the SCI share price target for 2031?
SCI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹279, with an 80% range of ₹69–₹1,090 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SCI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SCI reaching ₹624 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.
What is the bull case for SCI?
Trades at just 11.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 15.5% return on equity. Pays a 2.0% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in SCI?
High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.