Case study

SCI

Shipping Corporation Of India Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +1.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

64Score

Shipping Corporation Of India Limited (SCI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SCI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Shipping Corporation Of India Limited (SCI) trades at ₹305,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.

On the numbers, Shipping Corporation Of India Limited (SCI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.8× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SCI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹14,195 Cr
Current price
₹305
P/E ratio
8.8×
P/B ratio
1.56×
Book value
₹195
Dividend yield
2.13%
ROCE
14.3%
ROE
15.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How SCI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for SCI, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is SCI overvalued? SCI P/E vs peers

SCI trades at 8.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SCI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SCI history (15%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SCI 2027₹173₹310₹557+2%
SCI 2028₹138₹316₹721+4%
SCI 2029₹115₹321₹901+5%
SCI 2030₹101₹327₹1,062+7%
SCI 2031₹89₹333₹1,243+9%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SCI goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹610 within 5 years

The bull case for SCI

  • SCI's P/E of 8.8x is lower than 89% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SCI's return on equity of 15.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SCI's dividend yield of 2.1% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹901.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹115.

SCI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SCI compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹173-₹557, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SCI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.8%
80% range₹173-₹557
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.4%
80% range₹115-₹901
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
9.2%
80% range₹89-₹1,243
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)28%

SCI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SCI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SCI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SCI price target & forecast page.

SCI Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SCI scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

SCI MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SCI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox36.79%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.75%2.7×
Groww36.91%2.7×
DhanCHEAPEST36.75%2.7×
Kotak Neo36.76%2.7×
Paytm Money36.98%2.7×
Pocketful37.19%2.7×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST36.75%2.7×
Bajaj Broking39.00%2.6×
Share India36.86%2.7×

Compare every broker on the SCI MTF page.

About Shipping Corporation Of India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Shipping Corporation Of India Limited (SCI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,195 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SCI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shipping Corporation Of India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SCI analysis, FAQs

Is Shipping Corporation Of India Limited (SCI) a good buy?

On the numbers, Shipping Corporation Of India Limited (SCI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.8× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SCI overvalued or undervalued?

SCI trades at 8.8× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SCI share price target for 2031?

SCI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹333, with an 80% range of ₹89-₹1,243 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SCI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SCI reaching ₹610 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for SCI?

SCI's P/E of 8.8x is lower than 89% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SCI's return on equity of 15.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SCI's dividend yield of 2.1% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SCI?

High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SCI