Case study

SDBL

Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model +0.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited (SDBL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SDBL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited (SDBL) trades at ₹73,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited (SDBL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 107.0× earnings, ROE of 1.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SDBL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,525 Cr
Current price
₹73
P/E ratio
107.0×
P/B ratio
1.96×
Book value
₹37
ROCE
5.7%
ROE
1.9%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How SDBL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SDBL overvalued? SDBL P/E vs peers

SDBL trades at 107.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SDBL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SDBL history (9%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SDBL 2027₹41₹74₹134+1%
SDBL 2028₹31₹74₹176+2%
SDBL 2029₹26₹75₹216+2%
SDBL 2030₹22₹76₹261+3%
SDBL 2031₹19₹76₹299+4%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SDBL goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
52%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹147 within 5 years

The bull case for SDBL

  • Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹216.

The bear case & risks

  • SDBL's P/E of 107.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SDBL's return on equity of 1.9% ranks in the 19th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹26.

SDBL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SDBL compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹41-₹134, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SDBL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹41-₹134
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹26-₹216
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹19-₹299
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)27%

SDBL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SDBL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SDBL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SDBL price target & forecast page.

SDBL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SDBL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

SDBL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SDBL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox39.76%2.5×
Zerodha39.71%2.5×
Groww39.95%2.5×
Dhan39.71%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money56.83%1.8×
PocketfulCHEAPEST38.86%2.6×
Anand Rathi39.71%2.5×
Bajaj Broking43.00%2.3×
Share India39.90%2.5×

Compare every broker on the SDBL MTF page.

About Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited (SDBL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,525 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SDBL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SDBL analysis, FAQs

Is Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited (SDBL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited (SDBL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 107.0× earnings, ROE of 1.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SDBL overvalued or undervalued?

SDBL trades at 107.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SDBL share price target for 2031?

SDBL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹76, with an 80% range of ₹19-₹299 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SDBL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SDBL reaching ₹147 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for SDBL?

Som Distilleries & Breweries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SDBL?

SDBL's P/E of 107.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SDBL's return on equity of 1.9% ranks in the 19th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SDBL