SDBL
SOM DIST & BREW LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SOM DIST & BREW LTD (SDBL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SDBL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, SOM DIST & BREW LTD (SDBL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SDBL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SDBL history (-21%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDBL 2027 | ₹30 | ₹55 | ₹98 | -27% |
| SDBL 2028 | ₹17 | ₹39 | ₹94 | -48% |
| SDBL 2029 | ₹10 | ₹29 | ₹80 | -62% |
| SDBL 2030 | ₹6 | ₹21 | ₹69 | -72% |
| SDBL 2031 | ₹4 | ₹15 | ₹58 | -80% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SDBL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SDBL
- SOM DIST & BREW LTD is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹80.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹10.
SDBL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SDBL compounded at -21%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹30–₹98, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SDBL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SDBL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SDBL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SDBL price target & forecast page.
SDBL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SDBL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 39.5% | 2.5× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 39.5% | 2.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 39.5% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the SDBL MTF page.
SDBL vs peers,sector comparison
About SOM DIST & BREW LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
SOM DIST & BREW LTD (SDBL) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SDBL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SOM DIST & BREW LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SDBL analysis, FAQs
Is SOM DIST & BREW LTD (SDBL) a good buy?
On the numbers, SOM DIST & BREW LTD (SDBL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SDBL overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SDBL are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SDBL share price target for 2031?
SDBL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹15, with an 80% range of ₹4–₹58 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SDBL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SDBL reaching ₹151 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for SDBL?
SOM DIST & BREW LTD is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SDBL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.