SENCO
SENCO GOLD LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SENCO GOLD LIMITED (SENCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SENCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
SENCO GOLD LIMITED (SENCO) trades at ₹392,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100.
On the numbers, SENCO GOLD LIMITED (SENCO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.2× earnings, ROE of 25.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SENCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SENCO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SENCO's market cap of 6,372 Cr ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SENCO's book value of ₹153 ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SENCO's promoter holding of 64.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SENCO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 54.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SENCO's 3-year revenue growth of 27.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SENCO's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SENCO overvalued? SENCO P/E vs peers
SENCO trades at 11.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SENCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 3.0y of SENCO history (22%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SENCO 2027 | ₹218 | ₹393 | ₹709 | +1% |
| SENCO 2028 | ₹174 | ₹397 | ₹907 | +2% |
| SENCO 2029 | ₹146 | ₹401 | ₹1,103 | +3% |
| SENCO 2030 | ₹128 | ₹405 | ₹1,286 | +4% |
| SENCO 2031 | ₹114 | ₹409 | ₹1,473 | +5% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SENCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SENCO
- SENCO's P/E of 11.1x is lower than 84% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SENCO's return on equity of 25.6% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SENCO's return on capital employed of 20.9% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,103.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹146.
SENCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 3.0 years SENCO compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹218-₹709, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SENCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SENCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SENCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SENCO price target & forecast page.
SENCO Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SENCO scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
SENCO MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SENCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.29% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 35.25% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 35.36% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 35.25% | 2.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 35.21% | 2.8× |
| Paytm Money | 35.46% | 2.8× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 35.15% | 2.8× |
| Fyers | 35.71% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 35.25% | 2.8× |
| Share India | 35.36% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the SENCO MTF page.
About SENCO GOLD LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
SENCO GOLD LIMITED (SENCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,418 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SENCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SENCO GOLD LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SENCO analysis, FAQs
Is SENCO GOLD LIMITED (SENCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, SENCO GOLD LIMITED (SENCO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.2× earnings, ROE of 25.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SENCO overvalued or undervalued?
SENCO trades at 11.2× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SENCO share price target for 2031?
SENCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹409, with an 80% range of ₹114-₹1,473 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SENCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SENCO reaching ₹778 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for SENCO?
SENCO's P/E of 11.1x is lower than 84% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SENCO's return on equity of 25.6% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SENCO's return on capital employed of 20.9% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in SENCO?
High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.