SENSEXETF
Mirae Asset S&P BSE Sensex ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mirae Asset S&P BSE Sensex ETF (SENSEXETF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SENSEXETF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Mirae Asset S&P BSE Sensex ETF (SENSEXETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How SENSEXETF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
SENSEXETF is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
SENSEXETF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.8y of SENSEXETF history (8%/yr drift, 13%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SENSEXETF 2027 | ₹75 | ₹89 | ₹106 | +10% |
| SENSEXETF 2028 | ₹78 | ₹98 | ₹124 | +21% |
| SENSEXETF 2029 | ₹81 | ₹108 | ₹144 | +34% |
| SENSEXETF 2030 | ₹86 | ₹119 | ₹166 | +47% |
| SENSEXETF 2031 | ₹91 | ₹131 | ₹190 | +62% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SENSEXETF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SENSEXETF
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹89 (+10%).
- Relatively low volatility (13%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹144.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹81.
SENSEXETF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.8 years SENSEXETF compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 13%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹75-₹106, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SENSEXETF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SENSEXETF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SENSEXETF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SENSEXETF price target & forecast page.
SENSEXETF MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SENSEXETF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Groww | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Dhan | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 16.00% | 6.3× |
Compare every broker on the SENSEXETF MTF page.
About Mirae Asset S&P BSE Sensex ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
Mirae Asset S&P BSE Sensex ETF (SENSEXETF) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SENSEXETF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mirae Asset S&P BSE Sensex ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SENSEXETF analysis, FAQs
Is Mirae Asset S&P BSE Sensex ETF (SENSEXETF) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mirae Asset S&P BSE Sensex ETF (SENSEXETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SENSEXETF overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SENSEXETF are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SENSEXETF share price target for 2031?
SENSEXETF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹131, with an 80% range of ₹91-₹190 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SENSEXETF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SENSEXETF reaching ₹162 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.
What is the bull case for SENSEXETF?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹89 (+10%). Relatively low volatility (13%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in SENSEXETF?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.