Case study

SEPC

Sepc Limited

Tread carefully1y model -5.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

Sepc Limited (SEPC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SEPC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Sepc Limited (SEPC) trades at ₹6,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Sepc Limited (SEPC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.7× earnings, ROE of 3.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SEPC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,183 Cr
Current price
₹6
P/E ratio
21.7×
P/B ratio
0.61×
Book value
₹10
ROCE
5.0%
ROE
3.2%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How SEPC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SEPC overvalued? SEPC P/E vs peers

SEPC trades at 21.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SEPC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SEPC history (-13%/yr drift, 59%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SEPC 2027₹3₹6₹12-6%
SEPC 2028₹2₹5₹16-11%
SEPC 2029₹1₹5₹19-16%
SEPC 2030₹1₹5₹21-21%
SEPC 2031₹1₹5₹24-26%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SEPC goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
41%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹12 within 5 years

The bull case for SEPC

  • SEPC's P/E of 21.7x is lower than 59% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.61×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹19.

The bear case & risks

  • SEPC's return on equity of 3.2% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1.

SEPC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SEPC compounded at -13%/year with annualized volatility of 59%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3-₹12, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SEPC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.7%
80% range₹3-₹12
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.2%
80% range₹1-₹19
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
25.6%
80% range₹1-₹24
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)23%

SEPC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SEPC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SEPC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SEPC price target & forecast page.

SEPC Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SEPC scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

SEPC MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SEPC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Dhan42.38%2.4×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money50.00%2.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi42.38%2.4×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST42.24%2.4×

Compare every broker on the SEPC MTF page.

About Sepc Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Sepc Limited (SEPC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,183 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SEPC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sepc Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SEPC analysis, FAQs

Is Sepc Limited (SEPC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Sepc Limited (SEPC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.7× earnings, ROE of 3.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SEPC overvalued or undervalued?

SEPC trades at 21.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SEPC share price target for 2031?

SEPC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5, with an 80% range of ₹1-₹24 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SEPC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SEPC reaching ₹12 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for SEPC?

SEPC's P/E of 21.7x is lower than 59% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.61×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in SEPC?

SEPC's return on equity of 3.2% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SEPC