SETFNIFBK
SBI Nifty Bank ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SBI Nifty Bank ETF (SETFNIFBK) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SETFNIFBK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, SBI Nifty Bank ETF (SETFNIFBK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 75% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How SETFNIFBK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
SETFNIFBK is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
SETFNIFBK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SETFNIFBK history (11%/yr drift, 15%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SETFNIFBK 2027 | ₹539 | ₹655 | ₹796 | +11% |
| SETFNIFBK 2028 | ₹548 | ₹725 | ₹958 | +22% |
| SETFNIFBK 2029 | ₹574 | ₹802 | ₹1,121 | +36% |
| SETFNIFBK 2030 | ₹603 | ₹888 | ₹1,306 | +50% |
| SETFNIFBK 2031 | ₹634 | ₹983 | ₹1,522 | +66% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SETFNIFBK goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SETFNIFBK
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 75% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹655 (+11%).
- Relatively low volatility (15%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,121.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹574.
SETFNIFBK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SETFNIFBK compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 15%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹539-₹796, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SETFNIFBK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SETFNIFBK price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SETFNIFBK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SETFNIFBK price target & forecast page.
SETFNIFBK MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SETFNIFBK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 26.53% | 3.8× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Fyers | 27.03% | 3.7× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the SETFNIFBK MTF page.
About SBI Nifty Bank ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
SBI Nifty Bank ETF (SETFNIFBK) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SETFNIFBK Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SBI Nifty Bank ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SETFNIFBK analysis, FAQs
Is SBI Nifty Bank ETF (SETFNIFBK) a good buy?
On the numbers, SBI Nifty Bank ETF (SETFNIFBK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 75% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SETFNIFBK overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SETFNIFBK are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SETFNIFBK share price target for 2031?
SETFNIFBK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹983, with an 80% range of ₹634-₹1,522 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SETFNIFBK doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SETFNIFBK reaching ₹1,183 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for SETFNIFBK?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 75% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹655 (+11%). Relatively low volatility (15%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in SETFNIFBK?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.