Case study

SFL

SHEELA FOAM LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +5.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

SHEELA FOAM LIMITED (SFL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SFL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SHEELA FOAM LIMITED (SFL) trades at ₹697,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, SHEELA FOAM LIMITED (SFL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 37.3× earnings, ROE of 4.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SFL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹7,601 Cr
Current price
₹697
P/E ratio
37.3×
P/B ratio
2.34×
Book value
₹298
Dividend yield
0.14%
ROCE
6.1%
ROE
4.8%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How SFL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SFL overvalued? SFL P/E vs peers

SFL trades at 37.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SFL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.5y of SFL history (3%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SFL 2027₹465₹714₹1,097+5%
SFL 2028₹410₹753₹1,381+11%
SFL 2029₹378₹793₹1,664+17%
SFL 2030₹354₹836₹1,978+23%
SFL 2031₹339₹882₹2,297+30%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SFL goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
65%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,355 within 5 years

The bull case for SFL

  • SHEELA FOAM LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,664.

The bear case & risks

  • SFL's P/E of 36.3x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SFL's return on equity of 4.8% ranks in the 29th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹378.

SFL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.5 years SFL compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹465-₹1,097, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SFL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.4%
80% range₹465-₹1,097
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
17.1%
80% range₹378-₹1,664
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
30.2%
80% range₹339-₹2,297
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)28%

SFL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SFL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SFL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SFL price target & forecast page.

SFL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SFL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

SFL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SFL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha32.87%3.0×
Groww32.85%3.0×
Dhan32.87%3.0×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money38.85%2.6×
Pocketful32.45%3.1×
Anand Rathi32.87%3.0×
Bajaj Broking33.00%3.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST32.14%3.1×

Compare every broker on the SFL MTF page.

About SHEELA FOAM LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SHEELA FOAM LIMITED (SFL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,601 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SFL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SHEELA FOAM LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SFL analysis, FAQs

Is SHEELA FOAM LIMITED (SFL) a good buy?

On the numbers, SHEELA FOAM LIMITED (SFL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 37.3× earnings, ROE of 4.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SFL overvalued or undervalued?

SFL trades at 37.3× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SFL share price target for 2031?

SFL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹882, with an 80% range of ₹339-₹2,297 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SFL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SFL reaching ₹1,355 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for SFL?

SHEELA FOAM LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SFL?

SFL's P/E of 36.3x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SFL's return on equity of 4.8% ranks in the 29th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on SFL