SGFIN
SG FINSERVE LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SG FINSERVE LIMITED (SGFIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SGFIN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, SG FINSERVE LIMITED (SGFIN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 81% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SGFIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.9y of SGFIN history (46%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGFIN 2027 | ₹505 | ₹855 | ₹1,447 | +45% |
| SGFIN 2028 | ₹583 | ₹1,248 | ₹2,654 | +111% |
| SGFIN 2029 | ₹725 | ₹1,811 | ₹4,540 | +207% |
| SGFIN 2030 | ₹925 | ₹2,614 | ₹7,629 | +343% |
| SGFIN 2031 | ₹1,194 | ₹3,857 | ₹12,602 | +553% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SGFIN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SGFIN
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 81% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹855 (+45%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,540.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹725.
SGFIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.9 years SGFIN compounded at 46%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹505–₹1,447, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SGFIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SGFIN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SGFIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SGFIN price target & forecast page.
SGFIN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SGFIN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.4% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.4% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the SGFIN MTF page.
SGFIN vs peers,sector comparison
About SG FINSERVE LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
SG FINSERVE LIMITED (SGFIN) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SGFIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SG FINSERVE LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SGFIN analysis, FAQs
Is SG FINSERVE LIMITED (SGFIN) a good buy?
On the numbers, SG FINSERVE LIMITED (SGFIN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 81% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SGFIN overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SGFIN are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SGFIN share price target for 2031?
SGFIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,857, with an 80% range of ₹1,194–₹12,602 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SGFIN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SGFIN reaching ₹1,181 (2×) within 5 years is 90%.
What is the bull case for SGFIN?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 81% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹855 (+45%).
What are the risks in SGFIN?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.