SGMART
SG MART LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SG MART LIMITED (SGMART) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SGMART a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, SG MART LIMITED (SGMART) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 94% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SGMART share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.8y of SGMART history (68%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGMART 2027 | ₹660 | ₹1,091 | ₹1,791 | +83% |
| SGMART 2028 | ₹992 | ₹1,994 | ₹4,009 | +234% |
| SGMART 2029 | ₹1,561 | ₹3,657 | ₹8,761 | +512% |
| SGMART 2030 | ₹2,514 | ₹6,829 | ₹18,623 | +1042% |
| SGMART 2031 | ₹4,052 | ₹12,394 | ₹38,359 | +1973% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SGMART goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SGMART
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 94% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,091 (+83%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹8,761.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,561.
SGMART volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.8 years SGMART compounded at 68%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹660–₹1,791, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SGMART price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SGMART price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SGMART hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SGMART price target & forecast page.
SGMART MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SGMART with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.4% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.4% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the SGMART MTF page.
SGMART vs peers,sector comparison
About SG MART LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
SG MART LIMITED (SGMART) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SGMART Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SG MART LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SGMART analysis, FAQs
Is SG MART LIMITED (SGMART) a good buy?
On the numbers, SG MART LIMITED (SGMART) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 94% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SGMART overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SGMART are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SGMART share price target for 2031?
SGMART's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹12,394, with an 80% range of ₹4,052–₹38,359 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SGMART doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SGMART reaching ₹1,196 (2×) within 5 years is 100%.
What is the bull case for SGMART?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 94% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,091 (+83%).
What are the risks in SGMART?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.