SHAH
Shah Metacorp Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Shah Metacorp Ltd (SHAH) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about SHAH, and the method behind each one.
Shah Metacorp Ltd (SHAH) trades at ₹4,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.
On the numbers, Shah Metacorp Ltd (SHAH) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 31.4× earnings, ROE of 5.2%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SHAH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SHAH ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener
- SHAH's market cap of 413 Cr ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHAH's book value of ₹3 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHAH's promoter holding of 30.2% ranks in the 7th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHAH's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 95.0% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHAH's 3-year revenue growth of 73.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHAH's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78x is lower than 23% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
Is SHAH overvalued? SHAH P/E vs peers
SHAH trades at 31.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SHAH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SHAH history (-4%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHAH 2027 | ₹2 | ₹4 | ₹8 | -3% |
| SHAH 2028 | ₹1 | ₹4 | ₹10 | -6% |
| SHAH 2029 | ₹1 | ₹4 | ₹12 | -9% |
| SHAH 2030 | ₹1 | ₹4 | ₹14 | -12% |
| SHAH 2031 | ₹1 | ₹3 | ₹16 | -15% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SHAH goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SHAH
- Low price-to-book of 1.35×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12.
The bear case & risks
- SHAH's P/E of 31.4x is lower than 39% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHAH's return on equity of 5.2% ranks in the 29th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1.
SHAH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SHAH compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2-₹8, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SHAH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SHAH price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SHAH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SHAH price target & forecast page.
SHAH Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SHAH scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
About Shah Metacorp Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
Shah Metacorp Ltd (SHAH) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹413 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SHAH Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shah Metacorp Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SHAH analysis, FAQs
Is Shah Metacorp Ltd (SHAH) a good buy?
On the numbers, Shah Metacorp Ltd (SHAH) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 31.4× earnings, ROE of 5.2%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SHAH overvalued or undervalued?
SHAH trades at 31.4× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SHAH share price target for 2031?
SHAH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3, with an 80% range of ₹1-₹16 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SHAH doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SHAH reaching ₹8 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for SHAH?
Low price-to-book of 1.35×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in SHAH?
SHAH's P/E of 31.4x is lower than 39% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. SHAH's return on equity of 5.2% ranks in the 29th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
More on SHAH
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.