Case study

SHARDAMOTR

Sharda Motor Industries Ltd.

Worth a closer look1y model -7.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Sharda Motor Industries Ltd. (SHARDAMOTR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SHARDAMOTR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Sharda Motor Industries Ltd. (SHARDAMOTR) trades at ₹934,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Sharda Motor Industries Ltd. (SHARDAMOTR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.1× earnings, ROE of 27.9%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SHARDAMOTR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,349 Cr
Current price
₹934
P/E ratio
16.1×
P/B ratio
4.08×
Book value
₹229
Dividend yield
1.74%
ROCE
36.0%
ROE
27.9%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SHARDAMOTR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SHARDAMOTR overvalued? SHARDAMOTR P/E vs peers

SHARDAMOTR trades at 16.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SHARDAMOTR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SHARDAMOTR history (15%/yr drift, 64%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SHARDAMOTR 2027₹378₹866₹1,985-8%
SHARDAMOTR 2028₹245₹798₹2,596-15%
SHARDAMOTR 2029₹174₹734₹3,096-22%
SHARDAMOTR 2030₹126₹676₹3,615-28%
SHARDAMOTR 2031₹99₹622₹3,920-34%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SHARDAMOTR goes up, or doubles?

45%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
38%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,883 within 5 years

The bull case for SHARDAMOTR

  • SHARDAMOTR's P/E of 16.3x is lower than 70% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SHARDAMOTR's return on equity of 27.9% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SHARDAMOTR's return on capital employed of 36.0% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,096.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (64%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹174.

SHARDAMOTR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SHARDAMOTR compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 64%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹378-₹1,985, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SHARDAMOTR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.9%
80% range₹378-₹1,985
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)11%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
22.0%
80% range₹174-₹3,096
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
33.9%
80% range₹99-₹3,920
P(price ↑)38%
P(price 2×)22%

SHARDAMOTR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SHARDAMOTR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SHARDAMOTR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SHARDAMOTR price target & forecast page.

SHARDAMOTR Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SHARDAMOTR scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SHARDAMOTR MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SHARDAMOTR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.73%3.0×
Groww33.77%3.0×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money34.02%2.9×
Pocketful34.02%2.9×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.73%3.0×
Share India33.75%3.0×

Compare every broker on the SHARDAMOTR MTF page.

About Sharda Motor Industries Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

Sharda Motor Industries Ltd. (SHARDAMOTR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,349 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SHARDAMOTR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sharda Motor Industries Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SHARDAMOTR analysis, FAQs

Is Sharda Motor Industries Ltd. (SHARDAMOTR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Sharda Motor Industries Ltd. (SHARDAMOTR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.1× earnings, ROE of 27.9%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SHARDAMOTR overvalued or undervalued?

SHARDAMOTR trades at 16.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SHARDAMOTR share price target for 2031?

SHARDAMOTR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹622, with an 80% range of ₹99-₹3,920 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SHARDAMOTR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SHARDAMOTR reaching ₹1,883 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for SHARDAMOTR?

SHARDAMOTR's P/E of 16.3x is lower than 70% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SHARDAMOTR's return on equity of 27.9% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SHARDAMOTR's return on capital employed of 36.0% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SHARDAMOTR?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (64%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SHARDAMOTR