SHARDUL
Shardul Securities Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Shardul Securities Ltd (SHARDUL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about SHARDUL, and the method behind each one.
Shardul Securities Ltd (SHARDUL) trades at ₹50,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, Shardul Securities Ltd (SHARDUL) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.3× earnings, ROE of -7.2%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SHARDUL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SHARDUL ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener
- SHARDUL's market cap of 447 Cr ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHARDUL's book value of ₹75 ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHARDUL's promoter holding of 74.8% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHARDUL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 41.0% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHARDUL's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- SHARDUL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42x is lower than 44% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
Is SHARDUL overvalued? SHARDUL P/E vs peers
SHARDUL trades at 19.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SHARDUL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SHARDUL history (20%/yr drift, 57%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHARDUL 2027 | ₹24 | ₹49 | ₹102 | -3% |
| SHARDUL 2028 | ₹17 | ₹48 | ₹134 | -7% |
| SHARDUL 2029 | ₹13 | ₹46 | ₹162 | -10% |
| SHARDUL 2030 | ₹11 | ₹44 | ₹186 | -13% |
| SHARDUL 2031 | ₹8 | ₹43 | ₹218 | -16% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SHARDUL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SHARDUL
- SHARDUL's P/E of 19.3x is lower than 60% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.66×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹162.
The bear case & risks
- SHARDUL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹13.
SHARDUL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SHARDUL compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 57%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹24-₹102, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SHARDUL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SHARDUL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SHARDUL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SHARDUL price target & forecast page.
SHARDUL Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SHARDUL scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
About Shardul Securities Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
Shardul Securities Ltd (SHARDUL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹447 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SHARDUL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shardul Securities Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SHARDUL analysis, FAQs
Is Shardul Securities Ltd (SHARDUL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Shardul Securities Ltd (SHARDUL) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.3× earnings, ROE of -7.2%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SHARDUL overvalued or undervalued?
SHARDUL trades at 19.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SHARDUL share price target for 2031?
SHARDUL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹43, with an 80% range of ₹8-₹218 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SHARDUL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SHARDUL reaching ₹102 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for SHARDUL?
SHARDUL's P/E of 19.3x is lower than 60% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.66×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in SHARDUL?
SHARDUL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
More on SHARDUL
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.