Case study

SHILCTECH

Shilchar Technologies Limited

Mixed signals1y model +1.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

53Score

Shilchar Technologies Limited (SHILCTECH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SHILCTECH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Shilchar Technologies Limited (SHILCTECH) trades at ₹4,532,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, Shilchar Technologies Limited (SHILCTECH) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 32.8× earnings, ROE of 37.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SHILCTECH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,186 Cr
Current price
₹4,532
P/E ratio
32.8×
P/B ratio
10.56×
Book value
₹429
Dividend yield
0.28%
ROCE
50.7%
ROE
37.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SHILCTECH ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for SHILCTECH, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is SHILCTECH overvalued? SHILCTECH P/E vs peers

SHILCTECH trades at 32.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SHILCTECH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SHILCTECH history (40%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SHILCTECH 2027₹2,435₹4,711₹9,114+2%
SHILCTECH 2028₹1,879₹4,800₹12,264+4%
SHILCTECH 2029₹1,549₹4,891₹15,443+6%
SHILCTECH 2030₹1,324₹4,984₹18,756+8%
SHILCTECH 2031₹1,144₹5,079₹22,556+10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SHILCTECH goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹9,246 within 5 years

The bull case for SHILCTECH

  • SHILCTECH's return on equity of 37.8% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SHILCTECH's return on capital employed of 50.7% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹15,443.

The bear case & risks

  • SHILCTECH's P/E of 33.4x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 10.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,549.

SHILCTECH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SHILCTECH compounded at 40%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,435-₹9,114, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SHILCTECH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.9%
80% range₹2,435-₹9,114
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.8%
80% range₹1,549-₹15,443
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
9.9%
80% range₹1,144-₹22,556
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)30%

SHILCTECH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SHILCTECH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SHILCTECH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SHILCTECH price target & forecast page.

SHILCTECH Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SHILCTECH scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SHILCTECH MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SHILCTECH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox39.81%2.5×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.77%2.5×
Groww39.93%2.5×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo39.84%2.5×
Paytm Money40.13%2.5×
Pocketful40.30%2.5×
Fyers41.67%2.4×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST39.77%2.5×
Share India39.90%2.5×

Compare every broker on the SHILCTECH MTF page.

About Shilchar Technologies Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Shilchar Technologies Limited (SHILCTECH) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,186 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SHILCTECH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shilchar Technologies Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SHILCTECH analysis, FAQs

Is Shilchar Technologies Limited (SHILCTECH) a good buy?

On the numbers, Shilchar Technologies Limited (SHILCTECH) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 32.8× earnings, ROE of 37.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SHILCTECH overvalued or undervalued?

SHILCTECH trades at 32.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SHILCTECH share price target for 2031?

SHILCTECH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,079, with an 80% range of ₹1,144-₹22,556 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SHILCTECH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SHILCTECH reaching ₹9,246 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for SHILCTECH?

SHILCTECH's return on equity of 37.8% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SHILCTECH's return on capital employed of 50.7% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SHILCTECH?

SHILCTECH's P/E of 33.4x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 10.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SHILCTECH