Case study

SHILPAMED

Shilpa Medicare Limited

Tread carefully1y model +1.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Shilpa Medicare Limited (SHILPAMED) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SHILPAMED a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Shilpa Medicare Limited (SHILPAMED) trades at ₹739,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Shilpa Medicare Limited (SHILPAMED) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 50.8× earnings, ROE of 9.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SHILPAMED fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹14,458 Cr
Current price
₹739
P/E ratio
50.8×
P/B ratio
5.60×
Book value
₹132
Dividend yield
0.07%
ROCE
11.0%
ROE
9.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SHILPAMED ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SHILPAMED overvalued? SHILPAMED P/E vs peers

SHILPAMED trades at 50.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SHILPAMED share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SHILPAMED history (10%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SHILPAMED 2027₹441₹772₹1,352+2%
SHILPAMED 2028₹360₹785₹1,715+3%
SHILPAMED 2029₹305₹798₹2,088+5%
SHILPAMED 2030₹267₹812₹2,471+7%
SHILPAMED 2031₹233₹825₹2,918+9%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SHILPAMED goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,520 within 5 years

The bull case for SHILPAMED

  • Shilpa Medicare Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,088.

The bear case & risks

  • SHILPAMED's P/E of 52.3x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SHILPAMED's return on equity of 9.4% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹305.

SHILPAMED volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SHILPAMED compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹441-₹1,352, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SHILPAMED price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.7%
80% range₹441-₹1,352
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.1%
80% range₹305-₹2,088
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.6%
80% range₹233-₹2,918
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)26%

SHILPAMED price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SHILPAMED simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SHILPAMED hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SHILPAMED price target & forecast page.

SHILPAMED Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SHILPAMED scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SHILPAMED MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SHILPAMED with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.54%2.8×
Zerodha35.54%2.8×
Groww35.55%2.8×
Dhan35.54%2.8×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money35.55%2.8×
Pocketful35.00%2.9×
FyersCHEAPEST34.48%2.9×
Anand Rathi35.54%2.8×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India34.74%2.9×

Compare every broker on the SHILPAMED MTF page.

About Shilpa Medicare Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Shilpa Medicare Limited (SHILPAMED) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,458 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SHILPAMED Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shilpa Medicare Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SHILPAMED analysis, FAQs

Is Shilpa Medicare Limited (SHILPAMED) a good buy?

On the numbers, Shilpa Medicare Limited (SHILPAMED) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 50.8× earnings, ROE of 9.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SHILPAMED overvalued or undervalued?

SHILPAMED trades at 50.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SHILPAMED share price target for 2031?

SHILPAMED's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹825, with an 80% range of ₹233-₹2,918 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SHILPAMED doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SHILPAMED reaching ₹1,520 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for SHILPAMED?

Shilpa Medicare Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SHILPAMED?

SHILPAMED's P/E of 52.3x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SHILPAMED's return on equity of 9.4% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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