SHK
S H Kelkar and Co.
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
S H Kelkar and Co. (SHK) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SHK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, S H Kelkar and Co. (SHK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SHK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SHK history (-18%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHK 2027 | ₹57 | ₹105 | ₹195 | -25% |
| SHK 2028 | ₹34 | ₹78 | ₹186 | -44% |
| SHK 2029 | ₹21 | ₹60 | ₹169 | -58% |
| SHK 2030 | ₹13 | ₹44 | ₹150 | -69% |
| SHK 2031 | ₹9 | ₹33 | ₹132 | -77% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SHK goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SHK
- S H Kelkar and Co. is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹169.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹21.
SHK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SHK compounded at -18%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹57–₹195, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SHK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SHK price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SHK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SHK price target & forecast page.
SHK MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SHK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the SHK MTF page.
SHK vs peers,sector comparison
About S H Kelkar and Co.: sector, index & market-cap context
S H Kelkar and Co. (SHK) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SHK Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of S H Kelkar and Co.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SHK analysis, FAQs
Is S H Kelkar and Co. (SHK) a good buy?
On the numbers, S H Kelkar and Co. (SHK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SHK overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SHK are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SHK share price target for 2031?
SHK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹33, with an 80% range of ₹9–₹132 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SHK doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SHK reaching ₹280 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for SHK?
S H Kelkar and Co. is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SHK?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.